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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Sunday, June 24, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 17 June: New reports from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Nash and Johnston Counties, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 15 June: First report from MD. New reports from SC, NC, and GA. CDM has been confirmed in Dorchester County, MD; Bamburg County, SC; Edgecombe County, NC; and Decatur County, GA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast / mid-Atlantic U.S.

Cold front moves toward the Southeast. A front now in the mid-Atlantic gets pushed to the south by high pressure out of Canada, reaching the Southeast by Tuesday morning. Afternoon / evening showers will fire near the front and near weak surface troughs in the Southeast. Greatest amounts of rain will fall near the main front and in parts of FL. Many areas will be dry under sunny to partly cloudy skies. Hot with 90s / 70s most areas, 80s / 60s north of the cold front.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in FL, possible elsewhere. Epidemic spread is more likely near the sources into early next week. Conditions are slightly favorable to mixed in nearly all cases, the lone exception being Monday's transport event out of FL. Many transport events on Monday will trend west of the known sources and may impact new areas.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Sunday, June 24

Moderate Risk to cucurbits in west-central FL, eastern MD, DE, and southern NJ. Low risk for northern FL, the eastern panhandle, southeast AL, the southern half of GA, and southern SC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Monday, June 25

HIGH Risk for west-central FL. Moderate Risk for cucurbits in northeast SC, and south-central and southeast NC. Low Risk in the FL panhandle, southeast AL, southern GA, southern SC, and north-central and northeast NC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018