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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, June 24, 2016
 

*** Epidemic Update - 24 June: New report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Johnston County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 17 June: New report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Nash County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southern U.S.

Variable weather. A cold front now across TN/KY/southern VA will get pushed farther into the Southeast over the weekend. Scattered showers will occur in some areas of the South while other remain rain-free, with the locations varying day to day. The better chances for precipitation will be associated with the aforementioned front. Hot with highs in the 90s and a few 80s north of the cold front. Lows in the 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread possible in portions of the Southeast / lower mid-Atlantic. Conditions for epidemic spread will vary from day to day and event to event, most being slightly favorable to mixed. Transport events on Friday move near the sources or east. Saturday's and Sunday's events will be influenced by the exact position of the frontal boundary, with some events tracking near-source or east, and others to the WSW or southwest.   

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, June 24

Moderate Risk for eastern NC and southeast VA. Low Risk for cucurbits in far southern FL, northern FL, and near the Charleston source. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, June 25

Low risk for cucurbits in central and eastern sections of the Carolinas, southeast GA, southern FL, and near the TX source. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, June 26

Moderate Risk for northern FL, the eastern panhandle, and southern GA. Low risk for cucurbits in southern SC and southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2016