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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Thursday, July 25, 2019

 

*** Epidemic Update - 25 July: New reports from SC, NC, and AL. CDM has been confirmed in Lexington County, SC; New Hanover County, NC; and Elmore County, AL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 20 July: New reports from SC and AL. CDM has been confirmed in Horry County, SC; and Escambia County, AL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. *** 

 

Regional Weather: Eastern U.S.

Dry and seasonably cool with showers in the lower Southeast. High pressure translating from the Ohio Valley to the eastern U.S. governs the weather along the East Coast. The early-week front has come to a halt over northern FL. Scattered showers occur in the lower Southeast as a result. Highs in the 80s, lows mostly in the 60s.

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely. The transport events of interest (those coming out of the lower Southeast) tend to track near-source and west / southwest each day. The opportunities for epidemic spread are limited to those near-source areas and locations very near the central Gulf Coast. Unfavorable conditions dominate all other events.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Thursday, July 25

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in northern FL and far southern GA. Low Risk in central and southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Friday, July 26

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in northern FL and far southern GA. Low risk in central and southern FL, southwest GA, the FL panhandle, far southern AL, far southeast MS, and far southeast LA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2019