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Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Saturday, July 6, 2019

*** Epidemic Update - 4 July: New report from AL. CDM has been confirmed in Chilton County, AL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 27 June: First reports from MD, AL, and VA. New report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Caroline County, MD; Lee and Macon Counties, AL; Isle of Wight County, VA; and Johnston County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***


Regional Weather: Southeast / mid-Atlantic U.S.

Active weather. Persistent pattern is in place with a strong Bermuda High, sunny to partly cloudy skies, and scattered to numerous showers and storms each day. A front dropping through the mid-Atlantic Ohio Valley on Sunday and other smaller-scale weather features serve as foci for showers. Highs in the upper 80s and 90s, lows in the 70s.



Overview: Epidemic spread likely along the East Coast. Transport events track east to northeast from the known sources. Mixed to favorable conditions for survivable transport and effective deposition are expected during nearly all events.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Saturday, July 6

HIGH Risk in the FL eastern panhandle, far southeast AL, southern GA, eastern MD, DE, and southern NJ. Moderate Risk for cucurbits in northern FL, eastern SC, eastern NC, and southeast VA. Low Risk in central and southern FL, east-central AL, west-central GA, central and northern NJ, Long Island, and far southern CT and RI. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Sunday, July 7

HIGH Risk in DE, eastern MD, southeast VA, and eastern NC. Moderate Risk for cucurbits in the coastal plains of SC, central and southern GA, eastern AL, and northern FL / eastern panhandleLow risk for central and southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2019