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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, June 10, 2019


*** Epidemic Update - 10 June: New reports from FL and SC. CDM has been confirmed in Gadsden, Levy, and Alachua Counties, FL; and Marion County, SC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 6 June: First report from SC. CDM has been confirmed in Bamburg County, SC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

Prolonged period of wet weather. The existing front over the Southeast that edged into the region over the weekend will be overtaken by a new cold front moving in from the west. This front stalls over the Southeast through midweek. The transition produces some variation in the weather for some locations but the general theme remains in place. Showers and storms will continue under variably to mostly cloudy skies. Highs mainly in the 80s, lows in the 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the Southeast. The most favorable conditions lie to the south / east of the frontal system(s) in the lower Southeast and southern Atlantic coastal sections. Transport events originating from sources in those areas (a very large majority) tend to move east and northeast over the next 3 days. A few others move near-source or even southwest. Cucurbits in nearby areas will be at Low to Moderate Risk.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, June 10

HIGH Risk for central and northern FL, the eastern panhandle, southern GA, southern and eastern SC, and the eastern half of NC. Moderate Risk for cucurbits in southern FL. Low Risk in southeast VA and far southern MD. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, June 11

HIGH Risk in west-central and northern FL, the eastern panhandle, far southeast AL, southern GA, and southern SC. Moderate Risk for cucurbits in southern and east-central FL, northeast SC, and far southeast NC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Wednesday, June 12

HIGH Risk in central and northern FL, the eastern panhandle, southern GA, southern and eastern SC, and far southeast NC. Moderate Risk for cucurbits in far southern FL, southeast AL, and central GA. Low Risk in most of eastern NC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2019