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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Thursday, June 6, 2019


*** Epidemic Update - 6 June: First report from SC. CDM has been confirmed in Bamburg County, SC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 25 May: First reports from GA; New report from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Lowndes, Colquitt, and Decatur Counties, GA; and Marion County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

Wetter summertime pattern emerges. High pressure centered in the western Atlantic pumps sultry air into the Southeast. Scattered to numerous showers are a part of daily weather late this week. A cold front in the Ohio Valley / upper mid-Atlantic moving south, and a small system in the southern Plalins edging east, will enhance the chances of showers and storms. Better chances are expected on Friday over Thursday. Highs in the 80s to low 90s, lows in the upper 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the Southeast. Favorable conditions for spore production, survivable transport, and effective deposition are on rapid increase during this period. Transport events track near-source and N / NE Thursday, and north curving to northwest on Friday.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Thursday, June 6

HIGH Risk for southwest and south-central GA into western and central SC. Moderate Risk for cucurbits on the FL peninsula and the eastern panhandle. Low Risk on the northern periphery in northern and southeast GA, northern and coastal SC, and southern NC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Friday, June 7

HIGH Risk for central and northern FL and the eastern panhandle, GA, and western and central SC. Moderate Risk for cucurbits in southern FL. Low Risk for cucurbits in northern and northeast SC, southern NC, and southeast TN. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2019