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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Sunday, October 7, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 5 October: First report from Maine. CDM has been confirmed in Penobscot County, ME. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 26 September: New report from MS. CDM has been confirmed in Copiah County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Eastern United States / southern Canada

Showers possible many areas. High pressure centered roughly off the mid-Atlantic coast and the work-week front is sturng out over the Nroth. Southern and central sectdions of eastern North America will be sunny to partly cloudy with dry ewather in some sport snad scattered shwoers in others. The front re-aligns to southern Canada / central U.S. and the High asserts itself more strongly during the early week period. A tropical system approaches the Gulf Coast mid-week. Continued hot, with highs in the 70s and 80s, lows from the 50s to 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread possible many locations. Transport events are directionally driven by the high pressure situated off the coast. Conditions will be mixed in a few cases, slightly favorable for many others.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Sunday, October 7

Moderate Risk to cucurbits in eastern SC and southeast GA. Low Risk for southwest GA, the FL panhandle, western VA and NC, TN, western KY, eastern IA, northern IL, southern WI, southern MI, northern OH and IN, southern ON, PA, southern NY, NJ, northern MD and DE, southern New England, and southern NH. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Monday, October 8

Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southwest GA, the FL panhandle, southern AL, southeast MS, eastern SC, and southeast NC. Low Risk to cucurbits in northern AL, south-central TN, western SC, northeast TN, NC except the southeast, VA, eastern IA, southern WI, northern IL, lower MI, northern IN and OH, southern ON, PA, NY, NJ, VT, western MA, CT, and Long Island. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Tuesday, October 9

HIGH Risk for west-central FL and the FL panhandle, southeast MS, southern AL, southwest GA, and eastern SC. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in western NC, central and western SC, central and northeast GA, central AL and MS, northern and eastern LA, and southern AL. Low Risk to cucurbits in central and eastern NC, central and southwest VA, northwest GA, northern AL and MS, eastern AR, western TN and KY, southeast MO, eastern IA, IL, western and northern IN, WI, and lower MI. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018