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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Tuesday, October 2, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 26 September: New report from MS. CDM has been confirmed in Copiah County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 21 September: New report from MS. CDM has been confirmed in George County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Eastern United States / southern Canada

Unsettled North; mixture of dry weather and scattered showers Central and South. High pressure dominates most areas and a front cowavers around the North. That general theme persists through midweek. Another front introduces itself on Thursday. Continued warm / very warm with highs well into the 70s and 80s, lows from the 50s to 70s, with few exceptions.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread possible in several regions. Transport events track generally northeast during midweek, under the influence of high pressure centered off the coast. Conditions for epidemic spread vary. The better chances occur in the southern Ohio Valley / southern  Appalachians and in parts of the South.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Tuesday, October 2

Moderate Risk to cucurbits in northern FL, the eastern panhandle, southern GA, northeast MS, northwest AL, TN, KY, southern IN, and southern OH. Low Risk for the western panhandle, southern AL, the mountains of NC / VA, WV, eastern IA, far northern IL, southern WI, central and southern MI, southern ON, central and southern IN and OH, PA, NY, northern MD, DE, NJ, Long Island, southern New England, VT, and NH. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Wednesday, October 3

Moderate Risk to cucurbits in northeast TN, western NC, southwest VA, and far southern WV. Low Risk to cucurbits in southeast LA, southern MS, far southern AL, the western FL panhandle, northwest VA, WV, far western  MD, southwest PA, eastern IA, southern WI, northern IN and OH, lower MI, and southern ON. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Thursday, October 4

Moderate Risk to cucurbits in KY, southern IN and OH, and western WV. Low Risk to cucurbits in west-central FL, near the LA source, eastern IA, southern WI, northern IL, central and southern MI, northern and central IN and OH, southern ON, central and eastern WV, far northern VA, northern and central MD, DE, PA, NY, NJ, western MA, and VT and NH. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018