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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, July 27, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 27 July: New reports from PA, NJ, and NC. CDM had been confirmed in Lehigh County, PA; Cumberland County, NJ; and Haywood County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 22 July: New reports from NC and VA. CDM had been confirmed in Henderson County, NC and Emporia County, VA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast / mid-Atlantic U.S.

Scattered summertime showers. A cold front now just west of the Appalachians will cross the divide and merge with the existing stationary front on the east side. Expect sunny to partly cloudy skies and a chance of scattered afternoon/evening showers and storms. Highs in the 80s and 90s, lows in the 60s and 70s. Shower activity will be increasing late this weekend into next week as yet another wet pattern for the East becomes established.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in parts of the Southeast and Northeast. Conditions will be slightly favorable to mixed for most transport events, though there are a few in which more clouds will lie overhead and more rain is anticipated. Transport events trek generally near-source and northeast to east.   

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, July 27

HIGH Risk for southern GA, central and eastern SC, eastern NC, northeast PA, east-central NY, northeast MA, and southern VT. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southern AL, the FL panhandle, eastern PA, northern NJ, southeast NY, Long Island, CT, RI, MA except the northwest, and southern NH. Low Risk for western SC, far northeast TN, western and central NC, southern and eastern VA, eastern MD, DE, and southern NJ. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, July 28

HIGH Risk for eastern NC and northeast SC. Moderate Risk to cucurbits southern AL, the FL panhandle, southern GA, central SC, east-central NC, and southeast VA. Low Risk to cucurbits in northeast GA, western SC, western NC, eastern MD, DE, and southern NJ. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018