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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Tuesday, July 24, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 22 July: New reports from NC and VA. CDM had been confirmed in Henderson County, NC and Emporia County, VA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 20 July: New report from NC. CDM had been confirmed in Chatham County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast / mid-Atlantic U.S.

Rainy through the East Coast states. A stalled front in the East will be joined by a cold front moving in from the central U.S.. Strong moisture feed from the south ensures more clouds and rain through mid-week. Some drying may occur from the west on Thursday. Highs in the 80s to low 90s, lows in the 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the East. Transport events move near-source and ... north / NW (Tuesday), north / NE (Wednesday), and northeast (Thursday). Conditions are favorable during a very large number of these events.   

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Tuesday, July 24

HIGH Risk for the eastern FL panhandle, southeast AL, western and southern GA, northeast TN, the Carolinas, VA, eastern WV, MD, DE, NJ, central and eastern PA, and south-central NY. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southeast AL and the western panhandle. Low Risk for mainland NY except the south-central, and nearby areas of southern ON and southern QE. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Wednesday, July 25

HIGH Risk for the eastern panhandle of FL, GA except the northwest and southeast, NC, SC, VA except the southwest, DE, central and eastern MD, western NJ, central and eastern PA, and eastern NY. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in the western panhandle and southeast AL. Low Risk to cucurbits in southeast GA, eastern NJ, far southeast NY / western Long Island, far western CT and MA, VT, northern NH, and southern Quebec. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Thursday, July 26

HIGH Risk for  the eastern panhandle, most of central and southern GA, central and eastern sections of SC and NC, and southeast VA. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in eastern MD, DE, eastern PA, NJ, southeast NY, Long Island, and central and western CT. Low Risk for the western FL panhandle, southeast AL, northeast GA, western SC, and southwest NC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018