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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Sunday, July 22, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 22 July: New reports from NC and VA. CDM had been confirmed in Henderson County, NC and Emporia County, VA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 20 July: New report from NC. CDM had been confirmed in Chatham County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast / mid-Atlantic U.S.

More very unsettled weather. Wet weather is expected along the entirety of eastern North America from today into at least the middle of the upcoming week. The progression of the upper-level features has slowed to a crawl and so the surface fronts have follow suit. Rain, showers, and storms will be most frequent during the PM hours but can occur at any time. Skies may start out sunny in some locations but will trend heavily toward cloudy as time passes each day. Highs mostly in the 80s, lows in the 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the East Coast states. Conditions are favorable for epidemic spread and will remain so for a number of days. For Sunday and Monday, most transport events track northwest and north due to the orientation of the surface weather features.   

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Sunday, July 22

HIGH Risk for the FL panhandle, northern FL, southern AL and GA, western NC, southwest VA, far southern WV, eastern MD, DE, central and eastern PA, NJ, and southern NY. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in east-central AL, central GA, and central and eastern sections of NC and VA. Low Risk for central and eastern SC, northern VA, eastern WV, the western half of MD, western PA, northwest NY, and southern ON. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Monday, July 23

HIGH Risk for east-central AL, central and eastern GA, the Carolinas, northeast TN, eastern WV, VA, MD, DE, NJ, central and eastern PA, and western and south-central NY. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southern AL, the FL panhandle, and southwest GA. Low Risk to cucurbits in eastern KY, western WV, eastern OH, western PA, north-central NY, and eastern sections of southern ON. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018