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Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Tuesday, July 10, 2018


*** Epidemic Update - 8 July: New reports from DE (First report) and MD. CDM had been confirmed in Kent County, DE; and in Wicomico County, MD. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 3 July: First report from NJ; new report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Salem County, NJ; and in Wake County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***


Regional Weather: Southeast / mid-Atlantic U.S.

Mostly dry Tuesday; scattered showers Wednesday and Thursday. A stationary front is dissipating over the Southeast while a cold front moves into the mid-Atlantic from the north. Scattered showers will occur late Tuesday and Wednesday in the mid-Atlantic. Generally drier weather in the Southeast gives way to increased chances of rain on Thursday. Hurricane Chris will move off to the northeast on Wednesday. Highs in the 90s, lows in the upper 60s and 70s.



Overview: Epidemic spread possible near the sources Wednesday and Thursday. Conditions on Tuesday are unfavorable for all events. Slightly favorable to perhaps mixed conditions are anticipated for some transport events on Wednesday and Thursday. Events move mainly near the sources.  

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Tuesday, July 10

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Wednesday, July 11

Low Risk to cucurbits in the FL panhandle, southwest GA, southern and central AL, eastern NC, southeast VA, eastern MD, DE, and southern NJ. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Thursday, July 12

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in southeast AL and central GA. Low Risk in the FL panhandle, southern GA, central and eastern SC, the eastern half of NC, and southeast VA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018