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Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Sunday, July 8, 2018


*** Epidemic Update - 8 July: New reports from DE and MD. CDM had been confirmed in Kent County, DE; and in Wicomico County, MD. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 3 July: First report from NJ; new report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Salem County, NJ; and in Wake County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***


Regional Weather: Southeast / mid-Atlantic U.S.

Showers part of the Southeast; dry elsewhere. High pressure is wedging down the Eastern Seaboard behind the late-week cold front which has stalled over the far South. Cooler, drier air will govern the mid-Atlantic states plus SC and sections of GA. Showers and storms are possible along and south of the stationary front. Tropical Storm Chris has formed off the southern NC coast. He wobbles in place the next 2 days. Clouds and some showers in far eastern NC are the impacts. Highs in the 80s and 90s, lows in the 60s and 70s, with a warming trend.



Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the lower Southeast. Transport events move mainly near the sources. A variety of conditions is expected in the Southeast. Events out of SC and the mid-Atlantic are surrounded by unfavorable conditions. 

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Sunday, July 8

HIGH Risk for far southwestern GA, southeast AL, and the FL panhandle. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in central AL, and most of southwest GA. Low risk for most of northern and central FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Monday, July 9

HIGH Risk for far southwest GA, far southeastern AL, the eastern FL panhandle and nearby northern FL. Moderate Risk for cucurbits in southeast and east-central AL, and in central GA. Low Risk in far southeast GA and most of central and northern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018