You are here

-A A +A

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Tuesday, June 19, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 17 June: New reports from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Nash and Johnston Counties, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 15 June: First report from MD. New reports from SC, NC, and GA. CDM has been confirmed in Dorchester County, MD; Bamburg County, SC; Edgecombe County, NC; and Decatur County, GA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast / mid-Atlantic U.S.

Hot with a chance of showers. High pressure lies over the region, centered to the east. A front sits across the Virginias and into the Ohio Valley; it wavers north and south, remaining essentially in place through midweek. There will be a good chance of showers near the front. Largely dry in the Southeast with some isolated to scattered showers each day. Hot with highs in the 90s, lows in the 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely near the MD source, possible elsewhere along the central and southern Atlantic Seaboard. Tranport events tend to track near the sources and to the east. Most events are surrounded by slightly favorable to mixed conditions.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Tuesday, June 19

Moderate Risk to cucurbits in northern FL, the eastern panhandle, and southern GA, plus southeast MD, southern DE, and far eastern VA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Wednesday, June 20

HIGH Risk for eastern MD, DE, and southern NJ. Moderate Risk for cucurbits in far northern FL and the eastern panhandle, and southern GA. Low Risk in southern and eastern SC, eastern NC, and southeast VA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Thursday, June 21

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in northern FL, the eastern panhandle, southern GA, northeast SC, and eastern NC. Low Risk in central FL, southern SC, southeast VA, eastern MD, and southern DE. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018