You are here

-A A +A



Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, May 28, 2018


*** Epidemic Update - 25 May: First report from GA. CDM has been confirmed in Brooks County, GA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 16 May: First report from U.S. in 2018. CDM has been confirmed in Hillsborough and Manatee Counties, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***


Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

Very wet weather this week. SubTropical Storm Alberto is moving onto the FL panhandle today and will track northward thru AL and into the Ohio Valley. The large and unusual influx of tropical moisture that has impacted the Southeast recently will continue unabated this week. Expect widespread clouds, rain, and showers / storms. Heavy rainfall will occur near the track of Alberto and in the Carolinas Monday and Tuesday. Highs in the 80s, lows in the upper 60s and 70s.



Overview: Epidemic spread likely. Conditions are very favorable for epidemic spread early this week and are expected to persist for many days. Epidemic spread is possible well north of the known sources.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, May 28

The GA event moves west, the FL events move north. HIGH Risk in southwest GA, the eastern panhandle, and far southeast AL. Moderate Risk for cucurbits in central and northern FL and southeast GA. Low Risk in southern AL, the western FL panhandle, western SC, central and northern GA and nearby counties of TN and NC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, May 29

Transport events track generally north. HIGH Risk to cucurbits in central and northern FL and GA except the far north. Low Risk in far northern GA, eastern TN, southwest NC, and SC except the north-central and northeast sections. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018