You are here

-A A +A

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, May 25, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 25 May: First report from GA. CDM has been confirmed in Brooks County, GA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 16 May: First report from U.S. in 2018. CDM has been confirmed in Hillsborough and Manatee Counties, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

Active weather. Scattered showers and storms will occur Friday and Saturday. Even more showers and storms will overspread the region in earnest late Saturday into Sunday as a low pressure area (possibly tropical) moves into the Gulf of Mexico from the south. Highs in the 80s, lows in the upper 60s and 70s. Unsettled weather is expected through much of next week.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely, especially in the lower Southeast. Favorable conditions are expected during all transport events. With the discovery of the GA source, the potential for epidemic spread expands into the mainland Southeast.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, May 25

Transport events track mostly to the north. HIGH Risk in most of central and northern FL, and southern GA. Moderate Risk for cucurbits in central GA and the FL eastern panhandle. Low Risk in far eastern GA and western SC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, May 26

Transport events from FL move WNW while the GA event curves northeast. HIGH Risk to cucurbits in west-central FL and southern GA. Moderate Risk for east-central GA. Low Risk in west-central and northern SC, the FL panhandle, far southern AL and MS, and extreme southeast LA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, May 27

Transport events track generally northwest. HIGH Risk to cucurbits in central and northern FL, the eastern panhandle, and southwest GA. Low Risk in the western panhandle and central and southern AL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018