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Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, May 23, 2018


*** Epidemic Update - 16 May: First report from U.S. in 2018. CDM has been confirmed in Hillsborough and Manatee Counties, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***


Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

More unsettled weather. The general pattern is similar to recent days, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, plentiful moisture, and scattered to numerous showers or storms. Rainfall will be enhanced by a slow-moving front sinking into the mainland Southeast from the north. Highs in the 80s, lows in the upper 60s and 70s.



Overview: Epidemic spread likely in FL. The threat of epidemic spread stays closer to the known sources in central FL during midweek. Mixed conditions are expected Wednesday; favorable conditions return Thursday.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, May 23

Transport events drift slowly northwest. Moderate Risk for cucurbits in west-central FL and western sections of northern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, May 24

Transport events track slowly west. HIGH Risk to cucurbits in west-central FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018