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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, October 16, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 13 October: First reports from TN and MO. CDM has been confirmed in Cocke County, TN; and Cole County, MO. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 6 October: New report from MS. CDM has been confirmed in Simpson County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Eastern North America

Transition to an extended dry period. Cold front reaching from Canada to the Gulf of Mexico passes through eastern and southern North America Monday and Tuesday. Scattered showers will occur in the eastern states on Monday and the far Southeast on Tuesday. All other regions will see sunny, dry weather as high pressure re-establishes itself. Wide range of temperatures is expected with highs from the 50s to 80s, and lows from the 30s to 50s with some 60s and 70s far South.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread possible, but chances decreasing. Slightly favorable to mixed conditions surround the transport events of interest, those events being the ones coming out of the Southeast and coastal mid-Atlantic. Risks are being held down by cool to cold temperatures that are occurring outside of the South. 

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, October 16

Moderate Risk on the FL peninsula, in southern GA, and southern SC. Low Risk for cucurbits in the FL panhandle, southeast AL, eastern SC and NC, eastern VA, eastern MD, DE, southeast PA, and southern NJ. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, October 17

Moderate Risk for central and southern FL. Low Risk for cucurbits in northern. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017