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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, October 11, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 6 October: New report from MS. CDM has been confirmed in Simpson County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 4 October: New report from MS. CDM has been confirmed in Yazoo County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Eastern North America

Mainly unsettled weather. A low pressure / frontal system makes its way through east-central and eastern North America this period. Most of the rain or showers will fall in the coastal states and moreso Wednesday than Thursday. Wide range of temperatures with highs from the 50s to 80s, lows from the 40s to 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in parts of the Southeast / lower mid-Atlantic, possible elsewhere. Conditions for many transport events will be mixed to favorable, which could lead to additional epidemic spread in some areas as the growing season draws nearer to a close. Transport events are moving near the sources and northeast on Wednesday, near-source and northwest on Thursday.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, October 11

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in southeast GA, eastern SC, eastern NC, eastern VA, eastern MD, DE, southeast PA, and NJ. Moderate Risk in the FL panhandle, southern AL, southwest GA, northwest NC, southwest and west-central VA, western MD, western WV, eastern KY, OH, central and southern MI, southern ON, and western and central PA. Low Risk for cucurbits in southern FL, central and western SC, central and western NC, western and southern NY, far northern PA, CT, and Long Island. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, October 12

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in eastern SC, eastern NC, eastern VA, central and southern MD, southern DE. Moderate Risk for NJ, southeast PA, northern MD, eastern WV, western VA, central and western NC, central and western SC, eastern GA, southern FL, and near the deep south TX source. Low Risk for cucurbits in the FL panhandle, southeast AL, southwest GA, northern WV, eastern OH, western NY, and western and central PA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017