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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, October 2, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 2 October: No new reports. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 25 September: New report from MS. CDM has been confirmed in Lee County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Eastern North America

Dry weather with a chance of showers far South. High pressure anchored over southern Canada / eastern U.S. governs the weather, which is dry early this week under sunny to partly cloudy skies. Onshore flow in the lower Southeast and the western Gulf Coast and the presence of a dying stationary front will cause showers in those areas. Highs mostly 70s and 80s, lows mostly 40s and 60s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely. Unfavorable conditions for survivable transport and deposition dominate the situation. Only a few transport events in the lower Southeast and Gulf Coast regions produce any meaningful chance of epidemic spread. 

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, October 2

Moderate Risk in central FL, southwest MS, and northeast LA. Low Risk for cucurbits in northeast FL, southeast GA, southern SC, central and western AL, MS except the southwest, and near the TX sources. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, October 3

Moderate Risk for the FL peninsula, and east-central and deep south TX. Low Risk for cucurbits in far northeast FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017