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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, September 29, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 25 September: New report from MS. CDM has been confirmed in Lee County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 22 September: New report from NH. CDM has been confirmed in Rockingham County, NH. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Eastern North America

Dry most regions; unsettled parts of the northern and southern areas. Dry weather and cool temperatures will be the hallmarks over the next 3 days. A stalled front in the South will help trigger showers, mostly in the lower Southeast and TX. A secondary front swinging through the northern sections today and tonight will generate some rain, also. Much cooler with highs in the 60s and 80s, lows in the 40s to 60s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread possible Friday, unlikely Saturday and Sunday. Transport events tend to move near the sources in most cases. Slightly favorable to mixed conditions will be found in many events on Friday, mainly in portions of the South and North. Any epidemic spread on Saturday and Sunday should be restricted to a few locations in the far South. 

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, September 29

Moderate Risk in deep south TX, the FL peninsula, southeast GA, southern SC, northeast OH, northwest PA, and western NY. Low Risk for cucurbits in east-central AL, southwest GA, the NC mountains, northeast SC, eastern NC, north-central PA, northwest OH, far southern ON, central and southern MI. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, September 30

Moderate Risk for the FL peninsula, NJ, southeast NY, Long Island, CT, RI, MA, and southern VT and NH. Low Risk for cucurbits in southern GA and deep south TX. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, October 1

Moderate Risk for the FL peninsula. Low Risk for cucurbits in southeast GA and deep south TX. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017