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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, September 27, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 25 September: New report from MS. CDM has been confirmed in Lee County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 22 September: New report from NH. CDM has been confirmed in Rockingham County, NH. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Eastern North America

Continued dry; chance of showers a few areas. One long cold front trudges eastward from its current position in the Great Lakes southwestward to TX. Little rain is expected with the front. The exceptions include rainy weather in TX / OK, some showers in FL, and a chance of rain in portions of the North. Mild coastal impacts from HR Maria diminish further. Large temperature contrasts are coming, with highs/lows in the 80s-90s / 60s-70s ahead of the front, 60s-80s / 40s to 60s behind.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely. The favorable conditions in the Plains states should have little impact on the early-week transport events. Most events are benign. Some epidemic spread is possible in parts of the South, and along the mid-Atlantic coast (mainly on Tuesday). 

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, September 27

Moderate Risk in southern FL and deep south TX. Low Risk for cucurbits in eastern MI, southern ON, OH, northwest PA, western NY, far eastern NC, southeast VA, eastern MA, RI, eastern CT, and east-central TX. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, September 28

Moderate Risk for deep south TX and southern FL. Low Risk for cucurbits in east-central TX. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017