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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, July 24, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 24 July: New reports from NY, PA, MI, and NC. CDM has been confirmed in Genessee and Yates Counties, NY; Cumberland, Franklin, Clinton, and Centre Counties, PA; Wayne and Muskegon Counties, MI; and Lincoln County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 21 July: New reports from OH and MD. CDM has been confirmed in Henry County, OH; and Wicomico County, MD. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Eastern North America

Unsettled, but improving, North; Hot with summertime showers South. High pressure moving into southern Canada / upper Midwest / Great Lakes will push the northern front to the south early this week. Unsettled weather in the lower Lakes and Northeast will move out on Tuesday. Daily rounds of scattered to numerous showers will fire across the central and southern sections. Highs from the 70s to 90s, lows from the 50s to 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in parts of the Northeast and South. Transport events encounter a variety of conditions. Toward the northern areas, more favorable weather will give way to only slightly favorable conditions on Tuesday. In the southern U.S., risks are quite elevated in portions of the deep South states and near the south-Atlantic coast, with slightly favorable to mixed conditions farther inland. 

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, July 24

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in central and southern MS, AL, central and southern GA, the FL panhandle, northern FL, central and eastern SC, southeast NC, northern and central PA, central and southern NY, northern NJ, Long Island, and southern New England. Moderate Risk southern PA, southern NJ, northern MD, northern DE, and central and southern FL. Low Risk for cucurbits in eastern TX, western SC, NC except the southeast, southeast VA, eastern MD, southern DE, far southeast MI, and northern OH. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, July 25

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in southern MS, central and southern AL, southern GA, the FL panhandle, eastern SC, and far southeast NC. Moderate Risk in the northern 1/2 of GA, central and western SC, most of NC, and southern FL. Low Risk for cucurbits in central and northern FL, NJ, eastern and northern PA, western and southern NY. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017