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Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, July 3, 2017

*** Epidemic Update - 3 July: First reports from MS and PA. New report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Copiah County, MS; Montour County, PA; and Person County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 30 June: First reports from NJ, OH, DE, and MI. New reports from NC, MD, and SC. CDM has been confirmed in Salem County, NJ; Wayne County, OH; Sussex County, DE; Monroe County, MI; Beaufort County, NC; Caroline County, MD; and Spartanburg and Chester Counties, SC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***


Regional Weather: Eastern North America

Somewhat unsettled weather. High pressure areas, one over the South and another moving into southern Canada / Great Lakes / Northeast, sandwich a slow-moving front over the Ohio Valley / mid-Atlantic states. Mainly afternoon / evening showers and storms are expected for most areas along and south of the front. Skies will be partly cloudy in most locations. Highs in the 80s and 90s, lows in the 60s and 70s, with cooler temperatures far North.



Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the Carolinas, parts of KY / TN. Conditions during the transport events will vary quite a bit with location. Mixed to favorable conditions will occur during most events out of the Southeast and KY. Less favorable conditions are expected toward the south-central U.S. and parts of the North.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, July 3

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in northeast SC and southeast NC. Moderate Risk in the FL peninsula, east-central and southeast GA, SC except the northeast, western NC, western KY, north-central TN, eastern OH, and a broad swath of central PA. Low Risk for cucurbits in the eastern FL panhandle, southwest GA, central and northeast NC, southeast MI, far southern ON, far northeast OH, and northern PA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, July 4

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in northeast SC, east-central and eastern NC, southeast VA, south-central KY, and east-central TN. Moderate Risk in southeast PA, central and southern NJ, DE, eastern MD, the FL peninsula, southeast GA, central SC, west-central and western NC except the southwest, and southwest VA. Low Risk for cucurbits in southwest GA and the eastern panhandle of FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017