You are here

-A A +A

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, June 30, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 30 June: First reports from NJ, OH, DE, and MI. New reports from NC, MD, and SC. CDM has been confirmed in Salem County, NJ; Wayne County, OH; Sussex County, DE; Monroe County, MI; Beaufort County, NC; Caroline County, MD; and Spartanburg and Chester Counties, SC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 28 June: First reports from Ontario and KY. CDM has been confirmed in Essex County, ON; and Allen County, KY. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Eastern North America

Unsettled summertime weather. A Bermuda High positioned offshore keeps eastern North America covered in warm, humid air. Partly to mostly cloudy skies will be the norm. Isolated to scattered showers are possible nearly everywhere each day through the weekend. Showers / storms will be most numerous ahead of  a cold front moving from the Central into the Eastern areas. Drying will occur across the northern sections on Sunday behind the front. Highs in the 80s and 90s, lows in the 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the Southeast / lower mid-Atlantic, lower Lakes, and parts of KY / TN. Epidemic spread possible in additional regions. Transport events over the next 3 days tend to move northeast or east. Conditions for most events will be favorable for epidemic spread, diminishing over the northern areas on Sunday behind the front.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, June 30

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in FL, southern AL, central and southern GA, SC, most of NC, southeast MI, northern OH, southern ON, northwest PA, and western NY. Moderate Risk in central KY. Low Risk for cucurbits in central NY, central and southeast VA, and northeast NC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, July 1

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in southern and eastern SC, eastern NC, eastern VA, eastern MD, DE, southeast PA, NJ, Long Island, southwest CT, southern ON, southeast MI, northern OH, most of PA, western NY, southern KY, and northern TN. Moderate Risk in south-central VA, northern SC, southern GA, far southern AL, and FL except southern FL. Low Risk for cucurbits in southern FL, eastern PA, central and eastern NY, and New England except ME. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, July 2

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in FL, far southern AL, and far southern GA. Moderate Risk for southern GA, SC, central and eastern NC, and southeast VA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017