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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, June 9, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 7 June: First reports from NC and SC. New reports from GA. CDM has been confirmed in Duplin County, NC; Horry County, SC; and Tift and Tattnall Counties, GA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 15 May: First report from GA. CDM has been confirmed in Echols County, GA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southern U.S.

Mostly dry; showers possible some areas. High pressure sprawled over the southern U.S. governs the scene. Sunny to partly cloudy skies and dry weather will be dominant. This past week's cold front, now stationary over FL, will trigger showers in that area. The front drifts north  on Sunday, bringing a chance of showers to the Gulf Coast and the mainland Southeast. Highs in the 80s and 90s, lows in the 60s and 70s, with a warming trend through the period.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in FL; possible in the Southeast. Transport events from the FL and GA sources move near the sources and/or slowly west each day. The stalled front in FL provides conditions favorable for epidemic spread along the peninsula. The increased cloudiness and chance of rain in the mainland Southeast on Sunday creates the possibility of epidemic spread there, after 2 days of unfavorable weather. Unfavorable conditions will occur for the SC, NC, and TX transport events.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, June 9

HIGH Risk for southern FL. Moderate Risk for a broad swath of central FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, June 10

HIGH Risk for central and southern FL. Moderate Risk for northern FL and the eastern panhandle. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, June 11

HIGH Risk for central and southern FL. Moderate Risk for northern FL, the FL panhandle, central and southern GA, and southern AL. Low Risk for cucurbits in northern GA and central AL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017