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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, June 7, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 7 June: First reports from NC and SC. New reports from GA. CDM has been confirmed in Duplin County, NC; Horry County, SC; and Tift and Tattnall Counties, GA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 15 May: First report from GA. CDM has been confirmed in Echols County, GA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southern U.S.

Unsettled, but improving, East; mostly dry West. A front lies just off the south Atlantic coast southwestward into the northern Gulf. High pressure sits to the north. Expect clouds and rain from the eastern Carolinas through the lower Southeast today. Rain coverage will lessen on Thursday as the front moves south and east. Dry weather will occur elsewhere, save for a few showers possible in parts of TX/OK. Highs mostly 70s and 80s, lows mostly 50s and 60s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the Southeast. With a front bisecting the Southeast for much of the period, transport events from the FL sources move northeast, while those from the GA and Carolinas' sources move southwest (Wednesday) or south to southwest (Thursday). Conditions are favorable for survivable transport and deposition in the region, moreso for Wednesday's events than Thursday's. The TX transport events are benign.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, June 7

HIGH Risk for FL, southeast AL, central and southern GA, central and eastern SC, and southeast NC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, June 8

HIGH Risk for central and southern FL. Low Risk for cucurbits in northern FL, southeast GA, coastal SC, and southeast NC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017