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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, May 12, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 10 May: New report from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Hillsborough County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 28 April: First report from TX. CDM has been confirmed in Hidalgo County, TX. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Active weather, diminishing with time. Enhanced cloudiness and rain / showers will progress west to east Friday and Saturday as a complex frontal system makes its way across the southern United States. By Sunday, active weather should be confined to parts of the FL peninsula as high pressure and fair weather fill in behind the departing system. Highs mostly 70s and 80s, lows mostly 50s and 60s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread possible in FL. Transport events out of the FL sources track east to northeast each day. Friday's conditions are unfavorable. Saturday's and Sunday's conditions show increased favorability for epidemic spread, though they are tempered by the antecedent dry weather. The events originating in deep south TX are unremarkable.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, May 12

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, May 13

Low Risk to cucurbits in central FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, May 14

Low Risk to cucurbits in southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017