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Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, April 3, 2017

*** Epidemic Update - 27 March: New report from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Manatee County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***


Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Unsettled through midweek. A frontal system is moving into the region today. The associated cold front will stall across northern FL on Tuesday. Expect partly to mostly cloudy skies and rain or showers, especially on Monday. Highs in the 80s, lows in the 60s and 70s. The next system will impact the region on Wednesday and Thursday.



Overview: Epidemic spread possible. The most noteworthy transport events are coming out of central FL on Monday, heading north and northeast. Some spore death will occur, then increasing cloudiness and a chance of showers will encompass the events in the afternoon and continue into the evening and night. Tuesday's events present lesser threat. They track northeast under slightly favorable conditions.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, April 3

Moderate Risk for southeast GA and southern SC. Low Risk for north-central and northern FL, the nearby bordering GA counties, northeast SC, and far southeast NC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, April 4

Low Risk for northern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017