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Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, March 29, 2017

*** Epidemic Update - 27 March: New report from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Manatee County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***


Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Fair weather today transitioning to unsettled on Thursday. A front lying over the region may trigger a shower or two today in southern GA, but otherwise dry weather dominates. The next system moves out of the south-central U.S. and into the lower MS Valley on Thursday. Scattered showers will occur, mostly over the mainland, late Thursday afternoon into Thursday night as the front reaches the lower Southeast. Highs in the 80s, lows in the 60s.



Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely Wednesday, possible on Thursday. Copious sunshine should kill the bulk of any spores released today, with no rain expected during the events. Thursday's transport events, which move north and northeast, feature a bit less unfavorable sky conditions (mostly sunny, going to ramipril partly cloudy). Showers are possible during the late afternoon through the nighttime hours of the events from the more northern two sources. Those two factors are enough to put the risk to cucurbits into the Low category. No rain is expected near the sources themselves.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, March 29

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, March 30

Low Risk for notheast FL, southeast GA, and southern SC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017