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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, September 21, 2016
 

*** Epidemic Update - 16 September: New report from MS. CDM has been confirmed in Copiah County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 14 September: New report from MS. CDM has been confirmed in Lee County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Central & Eastern U.S. / southern Canada

Unsettled Southeast and parts of the North; mostly dry elsewhere. Precipitation in the Southeast / lower mid-Atlantic is being produced by a stalled front and the last remnants of Tropical Cyclone Julia. Rain / showers in the northern areas are due to a stalled front stretching east to west through that region. High pressure and tranquill weather are expected elsewhere. Highs mostly 70s to 90s, lows mostly 50s to 70s, with a warming trend into Thursday.

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the Carolinas and parts of VA and MI. Risk to cucurbits will be largely concentrated near the source regions in the lower mid-Atlantic, eastern sections of the Southeast, and in the central Great Lakes.     

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, September 21

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in central and eastern SC, east-central and eastern NC, and southeast VA. Moderate Risk in western SC, west-central NC, and south-central VA. Low Risk for cucurbits in southern and northern FL, southeast GA, northern IN, northwest OH, all of lower MI, and far southern ON. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, September 22

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in eastern SC and NC, and central MI. Moderate Risk in northern FL, southeast GA, central SC and NC, and southern MI. Low risk for cucurbits in southern FL, western NC and SC, and southeast VA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2016

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, September 19, 2016
 

*** Epidemic Update - 16 September: New report from MS. CDM has been confirmed in Copiah County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 14 September: New report from MS. CDM has been confirmed in Lee County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Central & Eastern U.S. / southern Canada

Unsettled East Coast; mostly dry elsewhere. A slow-moving front will interact with the remnants of Julia to produce heavy rain and showers in the East. Dry weather is expected most other regions. Some scattered showers may fall along the Gulf Coast and near another front passing through the North. Highs mostly 70s to 90s, lows mostly 50s to 70s.

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely along the East Coast. Clouds and rain/showers will be concentrated toward the coast. Lesser risks will be found farther inland. Transport events in the region of interest are generally moving near-source and/or to the east or northeast.    

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, September 19

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in northern FL, southern GA, southern and eastern SC, southeast NC, southeast NY, and southern New England. Moderate Risk in north-central SC, central and northeast NC, south-central and eastern VA, central and eastern MD, DE, eastern PA, NJ, and Long Island. Low Risk for cucurbits in southwest GA, southeast AL, northwest SC, western NC, central MI, southern FL, and near the southeast TX source. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, September 20

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in southern and eastern SC, eastern NC, southeast VA, eastern MD, DE, and southern NJ. Moderate Risk in northern FL, southern GA, central SC, central NC, central VA, south-central MD, northern NJ, southeast NY, Long Island, CT, RI, and eastern MA. Low risk for cucurbits in western NC and SC, southern FL, and near the southeast TX source. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2016

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, September 16, 2016
 

*** Epidemic Update - 16 September: New report from MS. CDM has been confirmed in Copiah County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 14 September: New report from MS. CDM has been confirmed in Lee County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Central & Eastern U.S. / southern Canada

An unsettled period. Clouds and showers will progress from central to eastern North America over the next 3 days, as high pressure gives way to a cold front. Portions of the Southeast will remain dry; other areas in the East will not have a chance of rain until Sunday. Tropical Depression Julia, still off the Southeast coast, may cause a few showers along the south Atlantic coast. HIghs from the 60s to 90s, lows from the 50s to 70s.

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the east-central U.S. / southern Canada. A more subdued day on Friday will be followed by 2 days of very elevated risk across much of the east-central U.S. and southern Canada. The transport events of most interest will be moving near-source or somewhere between north and east, ahead of the cold front.    

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, September 16

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in southeast TX and western IN. Moderate Risk in northern FL, west-central MS / northeast LA / southeast AR, west-central KY, southern and northwest IN, and western MI. Low Risk for cucurbits in central MI, the NC mountains, northern AL, central TN, southwest AL, southern MS, and deep south TX. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, September 17

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in western AL, MS, western and central TN, KY, IN, MI, OH, northern WV, western and central PA, western NY, and southern ON. Moderate Risk in northern FL and southeast TX. Low risk for cucurbits in eastern AL, eastern PA, central NY, and southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, September 18

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in central and western NY, PA, western MD, northern and western WV, OH, southern IN, central and eastern KY, central and eastern TN, eastern MS, and AL. Moderate Risk in southeast TX, northern NJ, eastern NY, Long Island, New England except ME, and southern Quebec. Low risk for cucurbits in southern ON, southern NJ, DE, central and eastern MD, VA, southeast WV, NC, eastern SC, western MS, deep south TX, and northern and far southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2016

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, September 14, 2016
 

*** Epidemic Update - 14 September: New report from MS. CDM has been confirmed in Lee County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 12 September: New reports from OH and NC. CDM has been confirmed in Franklin and Clark Counties, OH; and Rowan County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Central & Eastern U.S. / southern Canada

Tropical Storm Julia impacts the Southeast; Showers North Wednesday. Tropical Storm Julia formed Tuesday night just off the GA coast and will meander around that same area through midweek. Heavy rain is expected near the storm. More scattered showers may occur elsewhere in the Southeast/ Gulf Coast. Meanwhile ... a cold front and associated showers will traverse the northern areas Wednesday, with dry weather in store for Thursday. Another frontal system will bring showers into the Plains Thursday. Wide range of temperatures, with highs from the 60s North to 90s South and lows from the 40s to 70s.

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the Southeast and across the North (Wednesday). Transport events exhibit a variety of directions through midweek, generally moving east from the northern sources and near-source or south from the more southern sources. The most favorable conditions will be found near TS Julia, and in portions of the North on Wednesday.    

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, September 14

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in northern FL, the eastern panhandle, southern GA, central and eastern SC, far southeast NC, northern OH, southern ON, all but southeast PA, western and south-central NY, southern Quebec, northeast NY, northern and central VT and NH, and western ME. Moderate Risk in southeast NY, southern VT and NH, and MA. Low Risk for cucurbits in southeast MI, southeast PA, central and northern NJ, southern IN, southwest OH, KY, TN, western NC and SC, eastern MS, AL, northern GA, the western FL panhandle, southern FL, and southeast and deep south TX. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, September 15

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in northern FL, eastern panhandle, southern GA, and eastern SC. Low risk for cucurbits in western and southeast NC, southern FL, the western FL panhandle, southern AL, southern MS, southeast LA, and southeast and deep south TX. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2016

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, September 12, 2016
 

*** Epidemic Update - 12 September: New reports from OH and NC. CDM has been confirmed in Franklin and Clark Counties, OH; and Rowan County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 9 September: New report from IN. CDM has been confirmed in Knox County, IN. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Central & Eastern U.S. / southern Canada

Unsettled Southeast and central U.S.; mostly dry in between. High pressure over the Northeast and east-central U.S. is sandwiched between a dissipating front in the Southeast and a new front moving into the north-central United States. Scattered to numerous showers will fall in the Southeast and near the Gulf Coast. Unsettled weather will move into the upper Midwest later today and progress eastward on Tuesday. Dry weather will be dominant elsewhere. Highs mostly from the 70s to 90s, lows mostly from the 50s to 70s.

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the Southeast. Transport events move in a variety of directions early this week, guided generally by the clockwise circulation around the high pressure centered in the Northeast. The most favorable weather for epidemic spread will be found in the eastern / southern areas of the Southeast.    

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, September 12

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in coastal southeast NC, southern and eastern SC, western GA, the FL panhandle, central and southern AL, and southeast MS. Moderate Risk in inland southeast NC, parts of central SC, eastern GA, and northern FL. Low Risk for cucurbits in western NC, western SC, southern FL, east-central and southwest MS, and southeast TX. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, September 13

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in southern and eastern SC, southern GA, northern FL, and the eastern FL panhandle. Moderate Risk for southeast TX, southeast LA, western and central TN, eastern MS, AL, the western FL panhandle, and central MI. Low risk for cucurbits in northern IN, southern MI, western and southeast NC, western SC, northern GA, western MS, southeast AR, northeast LA, and southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2016

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