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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Thursday, May 23, 2019

 

*** Epidemic Update - 23 May: Update from FL: CDM has been confirmed in a research plot in Collier County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 9 May: New report from FL: CDM has been confirmed in St. Lucie County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Hot summer-like weather. No major frontal systems will affect the region for the foreseeable future as high pressure remains in control at the surface and aloft. Look for sunny to partly cloudy skies, little to no rain, and hot temperatures (highs in the 90s, lows in the 70s).

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely. Transport events travel rapidly west; conditions at the sources and along the forecast pathways are very unfavorable.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Thursday, May 23

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Friday, May 24

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2019

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, May 20, 2019

 

*** Epidemic Update - 9 May: New report from FL: CDM has been confirmed in St. Lucie County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 29 April: First reports from the U.S.: CDM has been confirmed in Miami-Dade, Collier, Hendry, and Hillsborough Counties, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Hot and dry. High pressure is entrenched over the region at the surface and increasingly so aloft, leading to hot and dry weather. A cold front drops into the upper Southeast but no farther. Some isolated showers may occur; best chance Monday. Highs in the upper 80s and 90s, lows in the upper 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread possible in southern FL. Though dry weather will occur over the large majority of the lower Southeast, some showers will fall near the known sources Monday and Tuesday. This yields slightly favorable to mixed conditions during those transport events. Events won't threaten other growing regions. They move west to WNW each day. .

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, May 20

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in southern FL. Low Risk for south-central FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, May 21

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in far southwest FL. Low Risk for the rest of southern FL. Minimal Risk elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Wednesday, May 22

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2019

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Saturday, May 18, 2019

 

*** Epidemic Update - 9 May: New report from FL: CDM has been confirmed in St. Lucie County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 29 April: First reports from the U.S.: CDM has been confirmed in Miami-Dade, Collier, Hendry, and Hillsborough Counties, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Very warm and muggy with a few showers. High pressure remains in control. Expect sunny to partly cloudy skies and isolated to scattered showers in some locales, mainly in parts of the FL peninsula and along the western sections of the Southeast. Seasonally warm with highs in the 80s and low 90s, lows in the 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread possible in central and southern FL. Transport scenarios are similar to those of recent days. Events move to the west / northwest Saturday, west on Sunday, under slightly favorable to mixed conditions.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Saturday, May 18

Low Risk for southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Sunday, May 19

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in southwest FL. Low Risk for southeast and south-central FL. Minimal Risk elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2019

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Thursday, May 16, 2019

 

*** Epidemic Update - 9 May: New report from FL: CDM has been confirmed in St. Lucie County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 29 April: First reports from the U.S.: CDM has been confirmed in Miami-Dade, Collier, Hendry, and Hillsborough Counties, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Mostly dry, showers possible some areas. High pressure over the southern U.S. dominates. The early-week front crawls slowly through the FL straits and northern Cuba. Showers are possible in central and southern FL and perhaps parts of southern AL / southern GA on Thursday. Highs in the 80s, lows in the 60s to low 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread possible in central and southern FL. Transport events track west to WNW each day. Mixed conditions will occur toward southern FL; slightly favorable ones occur just to the north. Threat to mainland areas is too low for mention in these cases.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Thursday, May 16

Moderate Risk in southern FLLow Risk for south-central FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Friday, May 17

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in southern FL south of Lake Okeechobee. Low Risk for nearby areas of southern and south-central FL. Minimal Risk otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2019

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, May 13, 2019

 

*** Epidemic Update - 9 May: New report from FL: CDM has been confirmed in St. Lucie County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 29 April: First reports from the U.S.: CDM has been confirmed in Miami-Dade, Collier, Hendry, and Hillsborough Counties, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Unsettled weather, shifting south. The cold front now over northern FL / southern GA pushes southward down the FL peninsula as cool high pressure builds into the eastern U.S.. Expect widespread showers and storms across the region on Monday. Unsettled weather moves farther south each day. Highs in the 80s, lows in the 60s, with some 70s / 50s toward the mainland Tuesday and Wednesday.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in central and southern FL. The positioning of the major weather features ... front at the northern edge of the region moving south and high pressure to the south of the known sources ... produces transport events tracking to the ENE and east Monday and Tuesday. Events move near the sources and slowly south Wednesday with the front atop the southern FL growing areas. Conditions are favorable for epidemic spread in central and/or southern FL through midweek.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, May 13

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in central FL. Moderate Risk in northern and eastern sections of southern FLLow Risk for southwest FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, May 14

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in central FL and northern parts of southern FL. Moderate Risk for cucurbits in southern FL. Minimal Risk otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Wednesday, May 15

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in most of southern FL. Moderate Risk for northern sections of southern FL. Low Risk in south-central FL. Minimal Risk elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2019

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