You are here

Forecast Archives

-A A +A
Contains all words in the content (ex: May 4)
Displaying 36 - 40 of 498

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, August 14, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 14 August: New reports from NY and MI. CDM has been confirmed in Columbia and Tompkins Counties, NY; and Calhoun County, MI. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 11 August: First report from WV; new report from SC. CDM has been confirmed in Monongalia County, WV; and Marion County, SC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Eastern North America

Unsettled weather, especially southern and central U.S.. A stationary front in the south will lift slowly north. A second front lies east-to-west over the north-central states, heading east. Weakening high pressure is in the Northeast / southeast Canada. Numerous showers will fall in and around the fronts. Lesser wet weather, generally isolated to scattered showers, is expected toward the Northeast / southern Canada. Highs and lows mostly 80s and 90s / 60s and 70s, respectively.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the Southeast and mid-Atlantic. Transport events move near the sources or to the east / northeast. Favorable conditions for survivable transport and deposition surround the transport events coming out of the southern areas. A variety of conditions will be found in the Ohio Valley / Great Lakes / Northeast.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, August 14

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in northern FL and the FL panhandle, central MS, AL, GA, SC, and NC, southern VA, and southeast WV. Moderate Risk in central and southern FL, central PA, and central NY. Low Risk for cucurbits in north-central KY, western and eastern PA, western NY, eastern VA, central and eastern MD, DE, and central and western NJ. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, August 15

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in northern FL and the panhandle, central MS, central and southern AL, central and southern GA, SC, NC, VA except the northwest, eastern MD, DE, and southern NJ. Moderate Risk in central and southern FL, NY, VT, NH, MA, CT, and RI. Low Risk for cucurbits in south-central MI, northwest OH, southern ME, northern MD, central and eastern PA, northern NJ, and Long Island. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, August 11, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 11 August: First report from WV; new report from SC. CDM has been confirmed in Monongalia County, WV; and Marion County, SC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 9 August: First report from IN. CDM has been confirmed in Starke County, IN. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Eastern North America

Active weather. Two fronts ... one leaving the Atlantic Coast / Southeast, another in the central U.S. and moving south and east ... provide the impetus for more active weather in the central and eastern U.S. / southern Canada. Most areas will experience scattered-to-numerous / mainly afternoon and evening showers and storms. Some dry weather will be found in parts of TX and in the North (Saturday into Sunday). Highs in the 70s to 90s, lows from the 50s to 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely most areas. Environmental conditions will be favorable for epidemic spread in the southern states each day, in the eastern States Friday and Saturday, and in the Great Lakes on Friday. Very elevated risks are predicted for nearly all the cucurbits growing areas of interest on at least one day of the three. The lone exceptions are portions of the Ohio Valley and central United States. Transport events are tracking near the sources and to the northeast or east each day.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, August 11

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in southern FL, the FL panhandle, central and southern MS, AL, GA except the southeast, western and coastal SC, western and eastern NC, all but south-central VA, DE, dMD, northern WV, central and northern OH, central and eastern MI, southern ON, PA, NJ, and NY except Long Island. Moderate Risk in central and northern FL, southeast GA, central SC, central NC, south-central VA, northern KY, southern OH, Long Island, New England except ME, and southern Quebec. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, August 12

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in FL, central and southern MS, central and southern AL, GA except the northwest, the Carolinas, eastern WV, VA, MD, DE, NJ, central and eastern PA, central and eastern NY, Long Island, CT, RI, central and western MA, VT, NH, and southern Quebec. Moderate Risk in western PA and western NY. Low Risk for cucurbits in eastern KY, western WV, eastern MA, and ME. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, August 13

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in central and northern FL, the FL panhandle, southern MS, central and southern AL, southern and eastern GA, SC, southern and eastern NC, and far southeast VA. Moderate Risk in southern FL, and northwest and north-central NC. Low Risk for cucurbits in southern VA, eastern MD, DE, far southeast PA, and NJ. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, August 9, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 9 August: First report from IN. CDM has been confirmed in Starke County, IN. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 7 August: New reports from VA, NC, and SC. CDM has been confirmed in Chowan County, NC; Montgomery County, VA; and Anderson County, SC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Eastern North America

Unsettled South; transitional weather North. The weather map shows a stationary front in the South, high pressure over the North, and an east-west (mostly) stationary front in the far northern U.S. / southern Canada. Scattered showers are expected across the South; largely dry weather in the North will give way to showers in some areas on Thursday. Highs in the 80s and 90s, lows in the 50s to 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the Southeast and southern Appalachians. Transport events tend to move near the known sources (both days) and to the north to northeast (mainly Thursday). The more favorable conditions through midweek lie in the southern half of the U.S., edging to the north with time. 

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, August 9

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in northern FL, the FL panhandle, MS, AL, central and southern GA, southern and eastern SC, and coastal NC. Moderate Risk in central and northern FL. Low Risk for cucurbits in deep south and southeast TX, northern SC, interior southeast NC, and western and central NY. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, August 10

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in southern FL, the FL panhandle, MS, AL, GA, SC, southern and western NC, far southwest VA, southwest WV, and eastern KY. Moderate Risk in northern WV, southwest PA, central and eastern OH, and northern and central FL. Low Risk for cucurbits in deep south and eastern TX, north-central and northeast NC, southwest VA, and southeast WV. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, August 7, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 7 August: New reports from VA, NC, and SC. CDM has been confirmed in Chowan County, NC; Montgomery County, VA; and Anderson County, SC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 4 August: New reports from MI, NY, and NC. CDM has been confirmed in Saginaw and Ingham Counties, MI; Ontario and Onandaga Counties, NY; and Haywood, Ashe, and Caldwell Counties, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Eastern North America

Active weather this week. Expect clouds, rain, and showers along and ahead of a front that stretches from the mid-Atlantic through central TX. High pressure pushing the front into the southern states brings drier weather to the northern areas Tuesday into Wednesday. Highs in the 70s and 80s with some 90s South, lows in the 50s to 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely many areas. We have a typical summertime forecast scenario, where conditions are quite favorable along and ahead of a front, are mixed farther to the south and east, and unfavorable to perhaps slightly favorable behind the front or on the back side of a low pressure system. Risks depend on the timing of the fronts and events, the degree of washout expected early in the events, and the antecedent conditions. The most favorable conditions early this week will be in the northern and southern areas, with generally lesser risks in between. 

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, August 7

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in central and southern NY, southern VT and NH, southern New England, Long Island, central and eastern PA, NJ, eastern WV, DE, MD, VA except the southeast, western NC, western SC, northern GA, central AL, and southern MS. Moderate Risk in eastern TX, southern AL, central and southern GA, central and eastern SC, central and eastern NC, and southeast VA. Low Risk for cucurbits in central and eastern MI, southern ON, OH, western PA, central and western WV, and eastern KY. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, August 8

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in MS, AL, central and northern GA, SC, NC, southside VA, and southeast TX. Moderate Risk in FL and southern GA. Low Risk for cucurbits in northwest NC, southwest VA, central and eastern NY, Long Island, and southern New England. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, August 4, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 4 August: New reports from MI, NY, and NC. CDM has been confirmed in Saginaw and Ingham Counties, MI; Ontario and Onandaga Counties, NY; and Haywood, Ashe, and Caldwell Counties, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 2 August: New reports from MD, OH, and NY. CDM has been confirmed in Prince George's, St. Mary's, and Anne Arundel Counties, MD; Franklin County, OH; Chatauqua County, NY. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Eastern North America

Unsettled summertime weather. A long frontal system moves into the eastern and southern states with its western end extending into the Plains. The front will pass through the Northeast / mid-Atlantic, stall over the South, and get re-energized in the central U.S. Saturday into Sunday. Scattered to numerous showers are possible most areas on one or more days. The wetter weather will occur in the far South, in the North on Friday, and in the central U.S. Saturday and Sunday. Highs in the 70s to 90s, lows from the 50s to 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the North and the South; possible Central. Conditions for epidemic spread vary quite a bit, day-to-day and region by region. Transport events move near-source and/or north to east. 

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, August 4

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in southern AL, the FL panhandle, central and southern GA, southern SC, the NC mountains, northeast KY, OH, eastern MI, southern ON, northern WV, western and central NY, and PA except the southeast. Moderate Risk in southeast NY, southeast PA, northern NJ, southern VT and NH, MA except the southeast, northern CT, central AL, southern MS, and eastern LA. Low Risk for cucurbits in deep south and southeast TX, central and northern SC, southern and central NC, northeast NY, southern Quebec, northern VT and NH, and western ME. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, August 5

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in far southern MS, southern AL, the FL panhandle and northern FL, southern GA, coastal SC, far southeast NC, eastern NY, Long Island, CT, RI, western and central MA, VT, and NH. Moderate Risk in central NY, central SC, southeast NY. Low Risk for cucurbits in deep south and east-central TX, and southwest MS. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, August 6

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in MS, central and southern AL, southern GA, the FL panhandle, central and eastern SC. Moderate Risk in western SC, southern NC, northern KY, OH, eastern MI, southern ON, and western PA. Low Risk for cucurbits in deep south and east-central TX, the FL peninsula, northern NC, southeast VA, northern PA, and western and west-central NY. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

Pages