You are here

Forecast Archives

-A A +A
Contains all words in the content (ex: May 4)
Displaying 31 - 35 of 572

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Tuesday, August 28, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 28 August: New reports from KY, NY, OH, NC, ON. CDM has been confirmed in Fayette County, KY; Genessee County, NY; Wayne County, OH; Yadkin County, NC; and Chatham-Kent County, ON. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 26 August: New reports from PA and KY. CDM has been confirmed in Columbia County, PA; and Caldwell County, KY. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Eastern United States / southern Canada

Unsettled weather returns. The high pressure and associated fair weather that have been dominant over eastern North America will slowly give way to more unsettled weather during midweek. Clouds and rain accompany a cold front that impacts the Great Lakes / Midwest Tuesday, the Northeast / Ohio Valley Wednesday, and the mid-Atlantic / TN Valley on Thursday. Scattered showers occur in the Southeast each day. Most of the rest of the eastern U.S. is dry Tuesday and Wednesday; the chance of rain returns Thursday. Highs in the 90s Tuesday changing to 70s North to 90s South. Lows going from 70s to 50s North to 70s South.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the Great Lakes and parts of the South. Transport events exhibit a strong tendency to the northeast and east with some staying near the source area. The most favorable conditions will naturally be found near the cold front, transitioning to mixed or slightly favorable for those events farther away. The recent dry weather in the eastern U.S. will likely subdue the impact of Thursday's transport events from those sources.  

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Tuesday, August 28

HIGH Risk in eastern WI. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in central and northern MI, coastal SC, east-central AL, southwest GA. Low Risk for northern and west-central AL, east-central and southeast GA, central SC, western and central NC, western and central VA, and southeast WV. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Wednesday, August 29

HIGH Risk in central and southern MI, southern ON, westeern NY, northwest PA, northern and western OH, IN, western KY, southeast MS, southern AL, and the FL panhandle. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in western GA, central and northern AL, central TN and KY, northern WV, southern and eastern OH, and western PA. Low Risk to cucurbits in northern GA, eastern TN, the NC mountains, eastern KY, southwest VA, southern and central WV, central PA, central and northern NY, southern Quebec, and northern VT and NH. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Thursday, August 30

HIGH Risk in eastern KY, western WV, and southwest PA. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in the FL panhandle, southeast MS, AL, central and western GA, TN, western NC, western and central KY, western VA, eastern WV, western MD, central PA, and south-central NY. Low Risk to cucurbits in eastern GA, SC, central and eastern NC and VA, central and eastern MD, eastern PA, NJ, southeast NY, southern new Engalnd, and southern VT and NH. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Tuesday, August 21, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 21 August: First report from CT; new reports from VA, PA, and WV. CDM has been confirmed in Hartford County, CT; Madison, Albemarle, and Montgomery Counties, VA; Blair County, PA; and Monroe and Monongalia Counties, WV. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 19 August: First report from WI; new reports from MI, SC, and PA. CDM has been confirmed in Columbia County, WI; Allegan, Berrien, Newaygo, and Ingham Counties, MI; Chesterfield County, SC; Worcester County, MA; and Montour County, PA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Eastern United States

Wet weather Tuesday; drying Wednesday; dry Thursday. A major frontal system progresses through the U.S. / southern Canada during midweek. Clouds and showers encompass almost all areas Tuesday. Showers occur Wednesday in the mid-Atlantic / NE and parts of the adjoining regions as the cold front portion of the system nears the Atlantic and Gulf coasts. Dry weather begins in earnest behind the front, becoming dominant on Thursday. Highs in the 70s and 80s, lows in the 50s and 60s with a decided cooling trend.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely for Tuesday's transport events and some of Wednesday's. Highly favorable conditions for survivable transport and deposition are occurring on Tuesday during most events as they head east and northeast. Conditions improve on Wednesday; transport events track more near-source and east with the higher favorability toward the Northeast. Dramatic changes arrive by Thursday, when nearly all events are benign. 

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Tuesday, August 21

HIGH Risk in the FL panhandle, the southern 1/2 of AL, southwest GA, far northwest SC, eastern TN, western NC, east-central and eastern KY, southwest / west / northern VA, WV, MD, DE, NJ, PA, CT, westeern MA, southern and west-central VT, all of NY, southern ON, OH, northern and eastern IN, and central and southern MI. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in north-central VT, central and southern NH, central and eastern MA, RI southeast VA, central and eastern NC, SC, and north-central and eastern GA. Low Risk for northern AL, south-central TN, far western ME, northern NH, and southern QE into parts of southern ON. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Wednesday, August 22

HIGH Risk in central and eastern NY, central and eastern PA, most of NJ, Long Island, southern New England, southern and eastern NH, and western ME. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southern NJ, DE, central and eastern MD and VA, eastern NC, and far northeast SC. Low Risk to cucurbits in northern FL, southeast GA, southern SC, western NC, northeast TN, western and southwest VA, central and eastern WV, far western MD, western PA and NY, eastern OH, and southern ON. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Thursday, August 23

Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southeast GA, and southern SC. Low Risk to cucurbits in northeast SC and southeast NC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Sunday, August 19, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 19 August: First report from WI; new reports from MI, SC, and PA. CDM has been confirmed in Columbia County, WI; Allegan, Berrien, Newaygo, and Ingham Counties, MI; Chesterfield County, SC; Worcester County, MA; and Montour County, PA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 17 August: New reports from NY and OH. CDM has been confirmed in Yates and Ontario Counties, NY; and Medina County, OH. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Eastern United States

More active weather for the next several days. Scattered showers are expected from the Gulf Coast through the TN Valley and mid-Atlantic on Sunday, due to the presence of a wobbly stationary front stretching from the Virginias back through KY / TN and beyond. Dry Sunday from the Great Lakes into the Northeast courtesy of high pressure in southeast Canada. Dry weather persists in the Northeast and lower Lakes on Monday. Much of the rest of the eastern U.S. will have numerous showers as a low pressure develops in the central U.S. and moves toward the Great Lakes. Highs mostly 80s, lows in the 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in many areas. Transport events move east and northeast on Sunday. On Monday, events track northeast from the southern sources, northwest and west from the more northern sources. Conditions are most favorable in a few separated areas during Sunday's events. More widespread favorable conditions exist during Monday's events.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Sunday, August 19

HIGH Risk in the FL panhandle, southern 1/2 of AL, southwestern GA, western NC, DE, northern MD, central and eastern PA, central and southern NJ. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southern MD, VA except the southwest, central and eastern NC, SC, central and southern GA except the southwest. Low Risk for southeast KY, southern WV, southwest VA, northeast TN, far northeast PA, northern NJ, southeast NY and Long Island, CT, and lower MI. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Monday, August 20

HIGH Risk in the FL panhandle, AL, GA except the southeast, western and central SC, NC, central and eastern TN and KY, southern OH, southern WV, southwest VA, northwest IN, far southwest MI, northern IL, southern WI, and eastern IA. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southeast GA, eastern SC, and far southeast NC. Low Risk to cucurbits in central and eastern WV, central and eastern VA, and western and far southern MD. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, August 17, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 17 August: New reports from NY and OH. CDM has been confirmed in Yates and Ontario Counties, NY; and Medina County, OH. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 14 August: New reports from MI and NY. CDM has been confirmed in Clinton and Van Buren Counties, MI; and Suffolk County, NY. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Eastern United States

An unsettled pattern. High pressure lies over the southern and eastern U.S.. A wavy, largely stationary front is situated over the Northeast / Ohio Valley / Plains. The front sags east and south today and Saturday and summertime shower activity expands to cover most of the eastern U.S. / southern Canada. A drier day is expected in the Great lakes / Northeast on Saturday as the front edges away. Highs mostly 80s and 90s, lows in the 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely nearly all areas on one or both days. Favorable conditions in the Northeast / southern Canada and along and west of the Appalachians on Friday will be found in many of those areas during Saturday's transport events, plus a number of other. Transport events tend to move to the northeast.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, August 17

HIGH Risk in lower MI, northern OH, southern ON, NY, southern NH, western and central MA, RI, CT, and northern NJ, PA, northwest MD, WV, western and southwest VA, eastern KY, central and eastern TN, western NC, western GA, AL, and the FL panhandle. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in easetern GA, SC, southern and eastern NC, central MD, northern DE, southern NJ, Long Island, and eastern MA. Low Risk for southern De, southern MD, central and eastern VA, and north-central NC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, August 18

HIGH Risk in the FL panhandle, AL, GA except the southeast, central and eastern TN and KY, northern and central SC, NC, the Virginias, MD, DE, central and eastern PA, NJ, southeast NY, Long Island, and southern New England. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southeast GA and southern SC. Low Risk to cucurbits in central and eastern OH, far western and far northern PA, far northern WV, and central and eastern NY. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Tuesday, August 14, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 14 August: New reports from MI and NY. CDM has been confirmed in Clinton and Van Buren Counties, MI; and Suffolk County, NY. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 12 August: First report from OH; new reports from AL, PA, and VA. CDM has been confirmed in Huron County, OH; Limestone and Montgomery Counties, AL; Juniata County, PA; and Accomack County, VA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Eastern United States

Variable summer weather. A dissipating stationary front along the East Coast Thursday provides focus for showers, mainly in the Northeast and lower Southeast. Mainly dry weather west of the mountains on Thursday shifts to more unsettled Wednesday and Thursday as a front in southern Canada / central U.S. moves south and east. Much of the East Coast, save for parts of the Southeast, will be drier until later Thursday or Friday. Highs mostly 80s and 90s, lows in the 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely across the northern tier and parts of the South. Transport events tend to track near-source and north to northeast during the midweek period. Conditions will vary from region to region and from day to day. The better chances of epidemic spread occur nearer the fronts in the North, and in the very moist regime in the South.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Tuesday, August 14

HIGH Risk in the FL panhandle, southern AL, southern GA, central and eastern PA, central and northern NJ, central and eastern PA, VT, and western sections of CT, MA, and NH. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in coastal SC and NC, eastern MD, DE, Long Island, eastern CT, RI, central and eastern MA, and southern NH. Low Risk for northeast VT, most of NH, southeast VA / far northeast NC, southern WV, southwest VA, northeast TN, and southwest NC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Wednesday, August 15

HIGH Risk in the eastern FL panhandle, southern GA, northern IN, and southwest MI. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in lower MI except the southwest, southern ON, northern OH, northwest PA, the western FL panhandle, southern AL, and central GA. Low Risk to cucurbits in western NY. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Thursday, August 16

HIGH Risk in northern IN, lower MI, southern ON, northern OH, western and central PA, and the western half of NY. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southern OH, western and southern WV, the eastern half of KY, central and eastern TN, southwest VA, the NC mountians, AL, northern and western GA, and the FL panhandle. Low Risk to cucurbits in SC, southeast NC, eastern PA, northwest NJ, and southeast NY. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

Pages