You are here

Forecast Archives

-A A +A
Contains all words in the content (ex: May 4)
Displaying 26 - 30 of 555

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, July 27, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 27 July: New reports from PA, NJ, and NC. CDM had been confirmed in Lehigh County, PA; Cumberland County, NJ; and Haywood County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 22 July: New reports from NC and VA. CDM had been confirmed in Henderson County, NC and Emporia County, VA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast / mid-Atlantic U.S.

Scattered summertime showers. A cold front now just west of the Appalachians will cross the divide and merge with the existing stationary front on the east side. Expect sunny to partly cloudy skies and a chance of scattered afternoon/evening showers and storms. Highs in the 80s and 90s, lows in the 60s and 70s. Shower activity will be increasing late this weekend into next week as yet another wet pattern for the East becomes established.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in parts of the Southeast and Northeast. Conditions will be slightly favorable to mixed for most transport events, though there are a few in which more clouds will lie overhead and more rain is anticipated. Transport events trek generally near-source and northeast to east.   

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, July 27

HIGH Risk for southern GA, central and eastern SC, eastern NC, northeast PA, east-central NY, northeast MA, and southern VT. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southern AL, the FL panhandle, eastern PA, northern NJ, southeast NY, Long Island, CT, RI, MA except the northwest, and southern NH. Low Risk for western SC, far northeast TN, western and central NC, southern and eastern VA, eastern MD, DE, and southern NJ. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, July 28

HIGH Risk for eastern NC and northeast SC. Moderate Risk to cucurbits southern AL, the FL panhandle, southern GA, central SC, east-central NC, and southeast VA. Low Risk to cucurbits in northeast GA, western SC, western NC, eastern MD, DE, and southern NJ. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Tuesday, July 24, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 22 July: New reports from NC and VA. CDM had been confirmed in Henderson County, NC and Emporia County, VA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 20 July: New report from NC. CDM had been confirmed in Chatham County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast / mid-Atlantic U.S.

Rainy through the East Coast states. A stalled front in the East will be joined by a cold front moving in from the central U.S.. Strong moisture feed from the south ensures more clouds and rain through mid-week. Some drying may occur from the west on Thursday. Highs in the 80s to low 90s, lows in the 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the East. Transport events move near-source and ... north / NW (Tuesday), north / NE (Wednesday), and northeast (Thursday). Conditions are favorable during a very large number of these events.   

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Tuesday, July 24

HIGH Risk for the eastern FL panhandle, southeast AL, western and southern GA, northeast TN, the Carolinas, VA, eastern WV, MD, DE, NJ, central and eastern PA, and south-central NY. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southeast AL and the western panhandle. Low Risk for mainland NY except the south-central, and nearby areas of southern ON and southern QE. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Wednesday, July 25

HIGH Risk for the eastern panhandle of FL, GA except the northwest and southeast, NC, SC, VA except the southwest, DE, central and eastern MD, western NJ, central and eastern PA, and eastern NY. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in the western panhandle and southeast AL. Low Risk to cucurbits in southeast GA, eastern NJ, far southeast NY / western Long Island, far western CT and MA, VT, northern NH, and southern Quebec. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Thursday, July 26

HIGH Risk for  the eastern panhandle, most of central and southern GA, central and eastern sections of SC and NC, and southeast VA. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in eastern MD, DE, eastern PA, NJ, southeast NY, Long Island, and central and western CT. Low Risk for the western FL panhandle, southeast AL, northeast GA, western SC, and southwest NC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Sunday, July 22, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 22 July: New reports from NC and VA. CDM had been confirmed in Henderson County, NC and Emporia County, VA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 20 July: New report from NC. CDM had been confirmed in Chatham County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast / mid-Atlantic U.S.

More very unsettled weather. Wet weather is expected along the entirety of eastern North America from today into at least the middle of the upcoming week. The progression of the upper-level features has slowed to a crawl and so the surface fronts have follow suit. Rain, showers, and storms will be most frequent during the PM hours but can occur at any time. Skies may start out sunny in some locations but will trend heavily toward cloudy as time passes each day. Highs mostly in the 80s, lows in the 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the East Coast states. Conditions are favorable for epidemic spread and will remain so for a number of days. For Sunday and Monday, most transport events track northwest and north due to the orientation of the surface weather features.   

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Sunday, July 22

HIGH Risk for the FL panhandle, northern FL, southern AL and GA, western NC, southwest VA, far southern WV, eastern MD, DE, central and eastern PA, NJ, and southern NY. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in east-central AL, central GA, and central and eastern sections of NC and VA. Low Risk for central and eastern SC, northern VA, eastern WV, the western half of MD, western PA, northwest NY, and southern ON. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Monday, July 23

HIGH Risk for east-central AL, central and eastern GA, the Carolinas, northeast TN, eastern WV, VA, MD, DE, NJ, central and eastern PA, and western and south-central NY. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southern AL, the FL panhandle, and southwest GA. Low Risk to cucurbits in eastern KY, western WV, eastern OH, western PA, north-central NY, and eastern sections of southern ON. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, July 20, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 20 July: New report from NC. CDM had been confirmed in Chatham County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 17 July: First report from VA. New Report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Dinwiddie County, VA; and Hyde County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast / mid-Atlantic U.S.

Active weather. Two major systems will affect the weather. One is a low pressure area that is forming on the stalled front in the South. It will ride up the Atlantic coast. The other is a frontal system that is swinging through the Midwest toward the East. Rain and showers, initially in the Southeast and North on Friday, will occur over all the east coast states on Saturday. Highs mostly 80s with some 90s South on Saturday. Lows in the 60s and 70s. Wet weather will likely impact much of the East later this weekend into next week.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the Southeast. Transport events Friday and Saturday move a variety of ways as the two major weather systems affect them. Friday's tend to move near-source and west-to-northwest. Saturday's track east / northeast from the southern sources, west / northwest from the mid-Atlantic sources. The most favorable overall conditions for epidemic spread will be found in the Southeast, due to the more favorable current and forecast weather and the more favorable antecedent environment (more dry weather recently in the mid-Atlantic states). Favorable to very favorable weather for epidemic spread is expected all along the Eastern Seaboard from this weekend into at least the middle of next week.  

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, July 20

HIGH Risk for northern FL, the eastern panhandle, southern GA, and southeast SC. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in the western FL panhandle, southeast AL, central GA, central SC, and eastern NC. Low Risk for central FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, July 21

HIGH Risk for southeast AL, the FL panhandle, northern FL, and southern GA. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in east-central GA, central and eastern SC, central and eastern NC, eastern VA, central and eastern MD, DE, NJ, central and eastern PA, and western and southern NY. Low Risk to cucurbits in central FL, west-central VA, eastern WV, western PA, eastern OH, and southern ON. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Tuesday, July 17, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 17 July: First report from VA. New Report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Dinwiddie County, VA; and Hyde County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 15 July: New reports from AL and NJ. CDM had been confirmed in Escambia and Baldwin Counties, AL; and in Warren County, NJ. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast / mid-Atlantic U.S.

Cold front impacts the eastern U.S.. Active weather with abundant clouds and showers will occur Tuesday as the front moves over the Appalachians and into our regions of interest. The front clears the mid-Atlantic coast Wednesday; progressive high pressure traverses the northern U.S. in its wake then brings 2-3 days of dry weather. Showers continue in the South after the front stalls. Highs in the 80s and 90s, lows in the 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the Southeast and PA(Tuesday). Conditions during Tuesday's transport events are mixed or favorable for epidemic spread. Thereafter, unfavorable weather makes increasing inroads in the mid-Atlantic region and the events of interest occur in the Southeast. A variety of conditions surround those transport events on Wednesday and Thursday. Airborne spores track east to northeast ahead of the front, south to sometimes west behind the front (nearly all these events have minimal impact).   

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Tuesday, July 17

HIGH Risk for south-central and southeast PA, southeast AL, central and southern GA, southern SC, and the FL panhandle. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in northern SC, central and eastern NC, eastern VA, southeast MD, DE, NJ, southeast NY, Long Island, and southern New England. Low Risk for northern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Wednesday, July 18

HIGH Risk for the southern half of AL, the FL panhandle, central and southern GA, and far southern SC. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in south-central and northeast SC, and far southeast NC. Low Risk to cucurbits in north-central SC, and most of southeast and eastern NC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Thursday, July 19

HIGH Risk for southern AL, FL panhandle, and southern GA. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in east-central AL, west-central and south-central GA, and far southern SC. Low Risk in east-central GA, and central and northern SC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

Pages