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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, June 1, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 1 June: New report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Wilson County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 30 May: First report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Sampson County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

Very wet weather this week. Unsettled weather continues, though the amount of clouds and showers lessens somewhat. One cold front will drop into NC Saturday. Another cold front will approach the Southeast from the west on Sunday. Showers may be enhanced ahead of the these fronts. Quite warm, highs in the 80s to low 90s, lows mostly 70s. Some drying will occur early next week.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in a few locations. Mixed to favorable conditions are expected during the majority of the transport events, most of which track generally to the east.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, June 1

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in west-central and southwest FL. Low Risk in northern FL, southern GA, and eastern NC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, June 2

HIGH Risk to cucurbits in eastern NC, southern GA, and far northern FL. Low Risk in a broad area of central FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, June 3

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in eastern NC, southeast GA, and far southern SC. Low Risk in central FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, May 30, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 30 May: First report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Sampson County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 25 May: First report from GA. CDM has been confirmed in Brooks County, GA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

Very wet weather this week. Alberto is weakening as it moves through the Ohio Valley and into the Great Lakes during midweek. High pressure sits off the U.S. East Coast and moisture inflow remains strong. Clouds and showers are good bets. Highs in the 80s, lows in the upper 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely. Favorable conditions persist through midweek. The discovery of the source in eastern NC produces a threat to the mid-Atlantic growing region.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, May 30

Transport events track to the north. HIGH Risk in most of central and northern FL, the eastern panhandle, southwest and central GA, central NC, and the southern counties of central VA. Moderate Risk for cucurbits in northeast GA, western SC, and southwest NC. Low Risk in central VA and central MD. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, May 31

Events move ENE and northeast. HIGH Risk to cucurbits in central and northern FL, much of eastern NC, and southeast VA. Low Risk in southern SC, eastern MD, DE, and extreme southern NJ. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, May 28, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 25 May: First report from GA. CDM has been confirmed in Brooks County, GA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 16 May: First report from U.S. in 2018. CDM has been confirmed in Hillsborough and Manatee Counties, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

Very wet weather this week. SubTropical Storm Alberto is moving onto the FL panhandle today and will track northward thru AL and into the Ohio Valley. The large and unusual influx of tropical moisture that has impacted the Southeast recently will continue unabated this week. Expect widespread clouds, rain, and showers / storms. Heavy rainfall will occur near the track of Alberto and in the Carolinas Monday and Tuesday. Highs in the 80s, lows in the upper 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely. Conditions are very favorable for epidemic spread early this week and are expected to persist for many days. Epidemic spread is possible well north of the known sources.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, May 28

The GA event moves west, the FL events move north. HIGH Risk in southwest GA, the eastern panhandle, and far southeast AL. Moderate Risk for cucurbits in central and northern FL and southeast GA. Low Risk in southern AL, the western FL panhandle, western SC, central and northern GA and nearby counties of TN and NC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, May 29

Transport events track generally north. HIGH Risk to cucurbits in central and northern FL and GA except the far north. Low Risk in far northern GA, eastern TN, southwest NC, and SC except the north-central and northeast sections. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, May 25, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 25 May: First report from GA. CDM has been confirmed in Brooks County, GA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 16 May: First report from U.S. in 2018. CDM has been confirmed in Hillsborough and Manatee Counties, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

Active weather. Scattered showers and storms will occur Friday and Saturday. Even more showers and storms will overspread the region in earnest late Saturday into Sunday as a low pressure area (possibly tropical) moves into the Gulf of Mexico from the south. Highs in the 80s, lows in the upper 60s and 70s. Unsettled weather is expected through much of next week.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely, especially in the lower Southeast. Favorable conditions are expected during all transport events. With the discovery of the GA source, the potential for epidemic spread expands into the mainland Southeast.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, May 25

Transport events track mostly to the north. HIGH Risk in most of central and northern FL, and southern GA. Moderate Risk for cucurbits in central GA and the FL eastern panhandle. Low Risk in far eastern GA and western SC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, May 26

Transport events from FL move WNW while the GA event curves northeast. HIGH Risk to cucurbits in west-central FL and southern GA. Moderate Risk for east-central GA. Low Risk in west-central and northern SC, the FL panhandle, far southern AL and MS, and extreme southeast LA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, May 27

Transport events track generally northwest. HIGH Risk to cucurbits in central and northern FL, the eastern panhandle, and southwest GA. Low Risk in the western panhandle and central and southern AL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, May 23, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 16 May: First report from U.S. in 2018. CDM has been confirmed in Hillsborough and Manatee Counties, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

More unsettled weather. The general pattern is similar to recent days, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, plentiful moisture, and scattered to numerous showers or storms. Rainfall will be enhanced by a slow-moving front sinking into the mainland Southeast from the north. Highs in the 80s, lows in the upper 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in FL. The threat of epidemic spread stays closer to the known sources in central FL during midweek. Mixed conditions are expected Wednesday; favorable conditions return Thursday.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, May 23

Transport events drift slowly northwest. Moderate Risk for cucurbits in west-central FL and western sections of northern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, May 24

Transport events track slowly west. HIGH Risk to cucurbits in west-central FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

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