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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, March 24, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Mostly dry; showers possible some areas. High pressure off the coast is the main influence on the weather. A frontal system moving across the southern U.S. will cause some showers in the mainland sections Saturday and Sunday. A few showers are possible in parts of FL with the onshore flow. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s, lows in the 50s and 60s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread possible. The more noteworthy transport events come out of north-central FL. Events are moving generally northwest each day. No rain is expected near the source. Skies during transport are mostly sunny today, but will be more partly cloudy Saturday and Sunday, allowing for more survival of airborne spores those days. Washout is possible over some mainland areas during those events. The risk to any available host plants is not substantial but is definitely above minimal. Localized disease development is possible in southern FL each day. 

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, March 24

Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, March 25

Low Risk to cucurbits in southern FL, the eastern FL panhandle, GA except the northwest and southeast, western SC, and nearby southwest NC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, March 26

Low Risk to cucurbits in southern FL, the eastern FL panhandle, southeast AL, and southwest GA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, March 22, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Mostly dry, though showers possible. A cold front dropping through the region may kick off scattered showers as it makes its way toward southern FL. High pressure fills in behind. Highs in the 70s and 80s today cooling to 60s and 70s on Thursday. Lows mostly 50s and 60s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely. Unfavorable conditions dominate for Wednesday's transport events, which tend to move generally south. Some localized epidemic spread is possible near the sources on Thursday. Events track west and southwest. 

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, March 22

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, March 23

Low Risk to cucurbits in north-central FL and far southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, March 20, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Fair weather. Dry weather continues under sunny to partly cloudy skies. Shower activity associated with a front to the north should keep toward the TN Valley / Carolinas. Highs mostly in the 70s, lows in the 40s and 50s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely. Transport events track near the sources or to the southwest (east out of Citrus County on Tuesday). Unfavorable conditions dominate. 

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, March 20

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, March 21

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, March 17, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Dry and warmer. High pressure adjusts its position and remains over the region. A cold front approaches from the north on Saturday, moving into the lower Southeast on Sunday. Other than a few showers in the interior sections on Saturday, dry weather prevails. Highs in the 60s and 70s, lows in the 40s and 50s with a few 60s south.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely. Conditions are unfavorable for each day's transport events; sunny skies and no rain are forecast. Events do not move toward other growing regions

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, March 17

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, March 18

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, March 19

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, March 15, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Cold and dry. High pressure over the mid-South shifts east with time. Tranquill and seasonally cold weather is expected for the next several days. Highs only in the 50s and 60s, lows mostly 20s to 40s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely. Conditions are unfavorable for survivable transport and deposition Wednesday and Thursday. Further, transport events do not approach other growing areas

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, March 15

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, March 16

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

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