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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, June 13, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 13 June: First reports from SC. New report from GA. CDM has been confirmed in Horry and Charleston Counties, SC; and Thomas County, GA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 6 June: New report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Duplin County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

Unsettled summertime weather. The extension of the Bermuda High extends over the Southeast. Weak surface troughs are present. More substantial fronts lie to the north and west, one of which will move into the northern sections on Thursday and stall. Sunny to partly cloudy skies and mainly afternoon and evening showers and storms are expected for most locations. Highs in the 80s and 90s, lows in the 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely for portions of the Southeast. Mixed to favorable conditions continue to predominate during the transport events. Events tend to move near the sources and to the east to northeast.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, June 13

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in northern FL, southern GA, eastern SC, and far southeast NC. Moderate Risk in west-central FL. Low Risk in eastern NC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, June 14

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in southern GA and far northern FL. Moderate Risk for central FL, eastern SC, and southeast NC. Low Risk in northeast NC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, June 11, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 6 June: New report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Duplin County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 4 June: New report from GA. CDM has been confirmed in Tift County, GA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

Unsettled weather. Sunny to partly cloudy skies are expected across the region each day with increasing cloudiness into the afternoons. Scattered to numerous showers and storms will occur in the afternoons and evenings. The best chance of showers accompanies a front that will move through the Carolinas into GA today and then retreat northward on Tuesday. Highs mostly 80s, lows in the 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely. Mixed to favorable conditions dominate the transport events. Little in the way of long-range transport is anticipated, though short to mid-range transport and effective deposition are quite probable.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, June 11

Transport events move near the sources and east. HIGH Risk for cucurbits in eastern NC, southern GA, and northern FL. Moderate Risk in central FL. Low Risk in southern SC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, June 12

Transport events move near the sources in GA and FL, and near-sources and southwest from the NC sources, which lie in different wind flows north of the front. HIGH Risk for cucurbits in southern GA except the southeast, central and eastern SC, and central and eastern NC. Moderate Risk for central FL. Low Risk in southeast GA, far southern SC, and south-central VA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, June 8, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 6 June: New report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Duplin County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 4 June: New report from GA. CDM has been confirmed in Tift County, GA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

A more summer-like pattern. A front is dissipating across the mid-sections of the Southeast over the next 2 days, and will serve to help trigger afternoon and evening showers and storms in an increasingly humid air mass. Skies will be sunny to partly cloudy for most locations. Showers will be most prevalent in portions of the lower Southeast. Highs in the 80s to low 90s, lows mostly 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the lower Southeast. A hodge-podge of conditions is expected during the transport events of the next 3 days. The better chances of rain and the higher risks will be in southern GA and FL. Transport events tend to move slowly near the sources and to the east or northeast.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, June 8

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in central and northern FL, the eastern panhandle, and southern GA. Moderate Risk in the western panhandle and southeast AL. Low Risk in northeast SC, central and eastern NC, and south-central and southeast VA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, June 9

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in southern GA, northern FL, and the eastern panhandle. Moderate Risk for cucurbits in central FL, east-central and eastern NC, and southeast VA. Low Risk in south-central and far southeast GA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, June 10

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in central and northern FL, southern GA, eastern NC, and southeast VA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, June 6, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 6 June: New report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Duplin County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 4 June: New report from GA. CDM has been confirmed in Tift County, GA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

Mostly fair; scattered showers southern sections. The Gulf Coast front is dissipating as another front sags through the Carolinas. Partly cloudy with scattered showers toward FL; an isolated shower is possible with the northern front but it will be mostly dry. Highs in the 80s to low 90s, lows in the 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in FL. Epidemic spread should be limited to areas near the FL and GA sources (and perhaps eastern NC Wednesday). The most favorable conditions will be on Wednesday in FL.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, June 6

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in central FL. Low Risk in eastern NC and northern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, June 7

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in central FL. Low Risk in southern GA, northern FL, and the eastern panhandle. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, June 4, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 4 June: New report from GA. CDM has been confirmed in Tift County, GA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 1 June: New report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Wilson County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

A drier period. The cold front that entered the region over the weekend is now stalled over the Gulf Coast / northern FL, where it will remain for several days. It will be partly cloudy with scattered showers south of the front. Cooler, less humid air is in place north of the front; no rain is expected. A front dropping toward NC may trigger a shower late Tuesday into Wednesday. Highs in the 80s to low 90s, lows in the 60s mainland, 70s FL.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread possible in FL. The threat of any epidemic spread should be limited to central FL early this week, where mixed conditions prevail during the transport events.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, June 4

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in south-central FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, June 5

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in south-central FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

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