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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE


Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - March 15, 2013
 

*** Epidemic Update - 15 March: New Report from FL. CDM has been reported in a research plot in Collier County, FL. Please see the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 4 March: First Report from U.S. (FL). CDM has been reported on multiple hosts in the sentinel plot in Miami-Dade County, FL. Please see the Epidemic History for details. ***  

 

Regional Weather: Lower Southeast

Tranquil weather for the next several days. High pressure that now lies over FL / Gulf of Mexico will shift east with time. Skies will be sunny to partly cloudy. Dry weather will prevail until early next week. Highs in the 70s warming to the 70s and 80s. Lows in the 40s and 50s. 


OUTLOOK:

Overview: Unfavorable conditions continue. Transport events do not approach other growing areas. Conditions are unfavorable for survivable transport, as well. No rain is forecast for the source region.   

 Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, March 15

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.


 Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, March 16

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.


 Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, March 17

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.


Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2013

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE


Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - March 13, 2013
 

*** Forecast Note - 4 March: Welcome to the 2013 CDM forecasts. Forecasts begin with a source reported in the sentinel plot in Miami-Dade County, FL. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 4 March: First Report from FL. CDM has been reported on multiple hosts in the sentinel plot in Miami-Dade County, FL. Please see the Epidemic History for details. ***   

 

Regional Weather: Lower Southeast

Cool, fair, and dry. High pressure centered over the central U.S. will settle toward the Gulf Coast. No rain is expected the next several days under sunny to partly cloudy skies. Highs in the 60s and 70s, lows in the 30s and 40s. 


OUTLOOK:

Overview: Unfavorable conditions for epidemic spread. No rain is forecast for the source region. Transport events move to the south. There is little chance of localized or long-range epidemic spread.   

 Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, March 13

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.


 Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, March 14

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.


Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2013

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE


Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - March 11, 2013
 

*** Forecast Note - 4 March: Welcome to the 2013 CDM forecasts. Forecasts begin with a source reported in the sentinel plot in Miami-Dade County, FL. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 4 March: First Report from FL. CDM has been reported on multiple hosts in the sentinel plot in Miami-Dade County, FL. Please see the Epidemic History for details. ***   

 

Regional Weather: Lower Southeast

Unsettled with showers. A frontal system will move through the region early this week. Expect increasing clouds today. Showers now just to the west will progress from west to east with time. The heavier rain will occur toward the mainland areas Monday with lesser amounts over the FL peninsula Tuesday. Highs in the 60s and 70s. Lows mostly 50s and 60s tonight, cooling to 30s to 50s Tuesday night. 


OUTLOOK:

Overview: Unfavorable conditions Monday; mixed conditions southern FL Tuesday. Today's event moves NNW but with little potential impact. Tuesday's event tracks NNE. Partly cloudy skies and a chance of showers are forecast for the source area and along the forecast pathway.   

 Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, March 11

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.


 Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, March 12

Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southeast FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.


Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2013

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE


Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - March 8, 2013
 

*** Forecast Note - 4 March: Welcome to the 2013 CDM forecasts. Forecasts begin with a source reported in the sentinel plot in Miami-Dade County, FL. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 4 March: First Report from FL. CDM has been reported on multiple hosts in the sentinel plot in Miami-Dade County, FL. Please see the Epidemic History for details. ***   

 

Regional Weather: Lower Southeast

Dry with a warming trend. High pressure centered to the north will govern the weather along the Eastern Seaboard. Sunny skies and sometimes breezy conditions are expected in our region of interest through the weekend. No rain is forecast until early next week, when a frontal system will impact the eastern U.S. Highs in the 60s and 70s becoming mostly 70s by Sunday. Lows in the 30s and 40s warming into the 40s and 50s. 


OUTLOOK:

Overview: Unfavorable conditions for epidemic spread. Transport events move to the southwest Friday and Saturday, west on Sunday. All events will encounter unfavorable conditions for epidemic spread.  

 Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, March 8

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.


 Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, March 9

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.


 Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, March 10

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.


Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2013

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE


Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - March 6, 2013
 

*** Forecast Note - 4 March: Welcome to the 2013 CDM forecasts. Forecasts begin with a source reported in the sentinel plot in Miami-Dade County, FL. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 4 March: First Report from FL. CDM has been reported on multiple hosts in the sentinel plot in Miami-Dade County, FL. Please see the Epidemic History for details. ***   

 

Regional Weather: Lower Southeast

Breezy, cool, and dry. A strong late-winter weather system impacting the mid-Atlantic will drag a cold front through southern FL. A few showers may occur today near the front. High pressure over the central U.S. is building into the region. Quite cool with highs in the 50s and 60s, lows in the 30s and 40s.


OUTLOOK:

Overview: Unfavorable conditions for epidemic spread. Events move east today, south on Thursday ... away from other growing regions. Only increased cloudiness and a very slight chance of showers are forecast near the source. 

 Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, March 6

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.


 Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, March 7

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.


Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2013

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