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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, April 17, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 27 March: New report from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Manatee County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Mostly dry. Mostly dry weather continues for the lower Southeast early this week. Some showers are possible in southern FL. A stationary front that lies over the TN Valley / Carolinas will cause some rain in those areas, but it should remain to the north. Highs in the 80s, lows in the 60s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely. Transport events move to the west / southwest each day and do not approach other growing regions. Conditions are unfavorable for localized epidemic spread in central FL, slightly to somewhat favorable in southern FL.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, April 17

Low Risk for southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, April 18

Low Risk to southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, April 14, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 27 March: New report from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Manatee County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Continued dry and warm. High pressure situated to the north, and later northeast and east, governs the weather for the next several days. Dry weather is dominant. There will be a small chance of showers in southern FL Saturday and Sunday and perhaps the FL panhandle on Sunday. Highs in the 80s, lows mostly in the 60s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely. Unfavorable conditions are observed and forecast for the various transport events, with sunshine killing airborne spores and no rain expected. Events are tracking generally west each day from each source. The slightly favorable conditions in southern FL produce some small risk there.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, April 14

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, April 15

Low Risk to far southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, April 16

Low Risk to far southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, April 12, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 27 March: New report from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Manatee County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Mostly dry. A cold front enters the outskirts of the region today and then stalls / lifts out to the north. Very little rain is expected with this front, most of it staying to the north and west of the lower Southeast. Instead, the better chance of showers is in southern FL (today), with a lesser chance just to the north. Highs in the 80s, lows in the 50s and 60s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely. The environmental conditions support a small measure of risk in portions of FL on Wednesday. Unfavorable conditions return for Thursday. Transport events track to the WSW / southwest, posing no threat to other regions.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, April 12

Low Risk to southern FL and west-central FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, April 13

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, April 10, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 27 March: New report from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Manatee County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Dry and warm. High pressure extends over the region from the Atlantic. Skies will be sunny to partly cloudy. No rain is anticipated, save for a stray shower in southern FL due to onshore flow. Showers with the next cold front should stay to the north and west. Highs in the 80s, lows in the 50s and 60s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely. Transport events are tracking west to WNW. The threat of epidemic spread to other areas appears quite low, as abundant sunshine should kill any airborne spores and the events moving toward the FL panhandle / southern AL should not encounter any rainfall. Some spread near the southern FL source is possible.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, April 10

Low Risk to far southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, April 11

Low Risk to far southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, April 7, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 27 March: New report from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Manatee County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

A dry period. High pressure over the southern U.S. dominates after the exit of the midweek cold front. Expect mostly sunny skies and little, if any, rainfall. Winds diminish as the High moves from the mid-South to the Atlantic coast. Initially cool with a warming trend into the weekend; highs in the 60s and 70s becoming mostly 70s on Sunday; lows in the 40s and 50s turning to 50s and 60s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely. Transport events move to the south and southeast today, west and southwest Saturday and Sunday. Unfavorable weather surrounds each event.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, April 7

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, April 8

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, April 9

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

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