You are here

Forecast Archives

-A A +A
Contains all words in the content (ex: May 4)
Displaying 36 - 40 of 401

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, August 29, 2016
 

*** Epidemic Update - 29 August: New reports from MS, AL, and NY. CDM has been confirmed in Hinds County, MS; Macon County, AL; and Clinton County, NY. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 26 August: New report from NY. CDM has been confirmed in Tompkins County, NY. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Central & Eastern U.S. / southern Canada

Unsettled around the "edges"; mostly dry elsewhere. Two tropical systems ... TD 8 off the NC coast and TD 9 in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico ... will help bring showers/rain to FL and the south-Atlantic coastal areas. A disturbance is also causing showers in the western Gulf. Meanwhile, a cold front will be dropping into the northern areas accompanied by clouds and showers. High pressure present over much of the rest of eastern North America will create mostly dry weather, with some showers possible in the Ohio Valley and southern Appalachians. Highs mostly 80s and 90s, lows from the 50s to 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread possible in TX and from the Southeast into the east-central U.S. / Great Lakes. The most favorable conditions for epidemic spread are found today in southeast TX. Otherwise, slightly favorable to mixed conditions are forecast for transport events coming out of the Southeast, the Great Lakes on Tuesday, and in parts of the Ohio Valley and southern Appalachain Mountains.    

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, August 29

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in southeast TX. Moderate Risk in southeast NC, southern and eastern SC, the southern half of GA, northern FL, and the eastern panhandle. Low Risk for cucurbits in deep south TX, southern FL, the western FL panhandle, central and southern AL, far southern MS, southeast LA, northeast NC, central and western TN, central and western KY, southern IN, and far southern IL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, August 30

Moderate Risk for southeast and deep south TX, northern FL, the eastern panhandle, southern and eastern GA, central and eastern SC, southeast NC, northwest IN, and western MI. Low risk for cucurbits in central and eastern MI, northwest OH, southern ON, the southern Appalachians, northeast NC, west-central GA, AL, the western FL panhandle, and far southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2016

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, August 26, 2016
 

*** Epidemic Update - 26 August: New report from NY. CDM has been confirmed in Tompkins County, NY. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 24 August: New reports from NC and MI. CDM has been confirmed in Orange County, NC; and Hillsdale County, MI. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Central & Eastern U.S. / southern Canada

Unsettled weather central U.S. / northern areas / Gulf coast; mostly dry elsewhere. A front in the northern areas will become stretched out over the Ohio Valley / mid-Atlantic over the weekend. The western end of the front will become active as it flexes from the central U.S. toward the Great Lakes / Northeast. Most of the East will be dry. A disturbance will bring some showers to FL. Onshore flow will promote shower activity in the western Gulf, as well. Highs generally from the 70s to 90s, lows from the 50s to 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the Great Lakes and southeast TX. Transport events exhibit a variety of directions over the next several days. Slightly favorable to mixed conditions will characterize most of the events. The most favorable conditions for epidemic spread will occur in southeast TX, and in the Great Lakes on Saturday.    

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, August 26

Moderate Risk in northern FL, southeast TX, and northern AL. Low Risk for cucurbits in southern FL, southwest AL, west-central AL, southern and east-central MS, southeast LA, southwest NC, western KY, Long Island, and southern New England. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, August 27

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in southeast TX, northern IN, and most of lower MI. Moderate Risk for northern FL, northwest OH, southeast MI, and southern ON. Low risk for cucurbits in the central and eastern UP of MI, eastern WI, western NC, southwest VA, KY, southwest OH, southern IN, TN except the central and southeast sections, northern AL, and southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, August 28

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in southeast TX. Moderate Risk for northeast OH, southern ON, western and central PA, western and central NY, northwest VT, southern Quebec, and northern FL. Low risk for cucurbits in southwest GA, the FL panhandle, southern AL, western NC, southwest VA, far northeast TN, east-central and south-central KY, southeast MI, and northwest OH. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2016

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, August 24, 2016
 

*** Epidemic Update - 24 August: New reports from NC and MI. CDM has been confirmed in Orange County, NC; and Hillsdale County, MI. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 22 August: New report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Henderson County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Central & Eastern U.S. / southern Canada

Unsettled weather central U.S. into the Great Lakes; showers possible South; dry East. High pressure will remain situated over teh eastern U.S. while a cold front makes its way into the Great Lakes and central United States. Showers and storms accompany the front; move isolated to scattered activity will occur in parts of the South. Highs mostly 80s and 90s, lows mostly 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the Great Lakes region. The more noteworthy transport events move near-source or to the north or east during midweek, the bulk of which are coming out of the northern sources. Slightly favorable to mixed conditions are forecast for some of the events in the southern Appalachians and Southeast. Eastern TX will see some rainy weather on Thursday. Dry weather persists along much of the East Coast.   

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, August 24

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in lower MI, northern IN, northwest OH. Moderate Risk in western southern ON, north-central OH, western NC / extreme northeast TN, eastern MS, AL, and the western FL panhandle. Low Risk for cucurbits in southeast TX, far southern FL, northern FL, the eastern panhandle, and southwest GA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, August 25

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in central and southern MI, northern IN, northern OH, southern ON, northwest PA, western and northern NY, and southeast TX. Moderate Risk for central and eastern PA, central NY, northwest VT, and southern Quebec. Low risk for cucurbits in far eastern NY, western MA, southern and eastern VT, western NH, northeast KY, western AL, eastern MS, far southeast LA, northern FL, and southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2016

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, August 22, 2016
 

*** Epidemic Update - 22 August: New report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Henderson County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 19 August: First report from Indiana; new reports from MI, NY, and VA. CDM has been confirmed in LaPorte County, IN; Allegan County, MI; Columbia County, NY; and Williamsburg County, VA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Central & Eastern U.S. / southern Canada

Much drier weather overall; showers possible parts of the southern and central U.S.. The weekend cold front has cleared the Atlantic Coast and the southern end has stalled over the Deep South. High pressure centered over the Ohio Valley / mid-Atlantic will govern the weather for at least the next several day over most of the eastern and central United States / southern Canada. Sunny to partly cloudy skies and dry weather will dominate. Showers are possible near the front in the South and ahead of the next cold front moving into the north-central states on Tuesday. Highs mostly in the 70s to 90s, lows mostly 50s to 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely over portions of the South, much less likely in other regions. A welcome respite from the heat and humidity of many recent weeks will be felt over much of eastern North America. A very large majority of our regions of interest will have conditions unfavorable for epidemic spread. The exceptions lie across the South; mixed to favorable conditions are anticipated for the transport events from eastern TX through southern GA / northern FL. These events are tracking mostly near the sources or not that far beyond, so the chance for epidemic spread to new regions is on the lower side despite the enhanced favorability of the weather.   

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, August 22

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in southeast TX. Moderate Risk in eastern MS, central and southern AL, central and southern GA, the FL panhandle, and northern FL. Low Risk for cucurbits in southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, August 23

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in southern GA, northern FL, and the eastern panhandle. Moderate Risk for southeast TX, southeast MS, central and southern AL and nearby southwest GA, and the western FL panhandle. Low risk for cucurbits in far southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2016

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, August 19, 2016
 

*** Epidemic Update - 19 August: First report from Indiana; new reports from MI, NY, and VA. CDM has been confirmed in LaPorte County, IN; Allegan County, MI; Columbia County, NY; and Williamsburg County, VA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 17 August: First report from Massachusetts; new reports from MI, AL, NC, PA, and KY. CDM has been confirmed in Franklin County, MA; Clinton and Muskegon Counties, MI; Limestone County, AL; Haywood County, NC; Madison County, KY; and Huntingdon County, PA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Central & Eastern U.S. / southern Canada

Unsettled weather shifting from the central U.S. areas toward the east. Summertime weather again this weekend as a new frontal system moves from the north-central U.S. to the south and east. Expect numerous showers and storms near the front with isolated to scattered activity farther ahead. The Northeast will be mostly dry Friday and Saturday but will see more rainfall on Sunday. Highs in the 80s and 90s with some cooler 70s in the North after the front passes. Lows mostly 50s to 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely over most sections of the eastern U.S. / southern Canada on one or more days from Friday through Sunday. Conditions for epidemic spread will vary day-to-day, becoming increasingly favorable over more areas Saturday and Sunday as the front presses onward. Transport events from the various sources will tend to move near-source and somewhere between east and north, as is quite common ahead of moderate to strong cold fronts and during the late summer season. After this front moves through eastern North America, expect drier weather and reduced risk to cucurbits for many areas of the eastern U.S. / southern Canada during the early to middle portion of next week  

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, August 19

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in NC, southern VA, northeast TN, northern SC, northern AL, northeast MS, and south-central TN. Moderate Risk in central and lower MI, southern ON, northern IN, OH, central and eastern KY, southern SC, central and southern GA, southern AL, the FL panhandle and northern FL, and southeast TX. Low Risk for cucurbits in southern FL, eastern VA, eastern MD, DE, NJ, Long Island, and CT. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, August 20

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in lower MI, western southern ON, northern IN, OH, central and eastern KY, southern WV, southern VA, central and eastern TN, NC, eastern SC, northern GA, and northern and central AL. Moderate Risk for southeast TX, the FL panhandle, southern AL, southern GA, southern SC, the western 1/2 of PA, western NY, and eastern southern ON. Low risk for cucurbits in central NY, the eastern 1/2 of PA, NJ, DE, MD, northern VA, western SC, northern FL, and far southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, August 21

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in the western FL panhandle, AL, central GA, northeast TN, western and central NC, VA, WV, MD, DE, central and eastern OH, PA, NJ, NY, Long Island, CT, central and western MA, western NH, VT and southern ON. Moderate Risk for central and southern MI, southern Quebec, central and eastern KY, central and eastern TN, eastern NC, southern and eastern SC, southern 1/2 GA, northern FL and the eastern panhandle, and southeast TX. Low risk for cucurbits in southern FL and deep south TX. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2016

Pages