You are here

Forecast Archives

-A A +A
Contains all words in the content (ex: May 4)
Displaying 36 - 40 of 416

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, October 3, 2016
 

*** Epidemic Update - 30 September: New report from TX. CDM has been confirmed in Waller County, TX. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 28 SeptemberNo new reports. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Central & Eastern U.S. / southern Canada

Dry most areas; chance of showers North, far South, and Plains. High pressure sprawled over eastern North America will govern the weather, with little rain expected under sunny to partly cloudy skies. Showers are possible ahead of a new front entering the Plains, in the North (today), and in FL and perhaps a few other areas in the far South. High in the 70s and 80s with some 60s North; lows in the 40s to 60s.

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Much calmer weather will be present early this week. Most transport events are moving near the source or southwest to northwest. Slightly favorable to mixed conditions are expected around some of the events in the North today, in parts of the Southeast each day, and in the Plains on Tuesday.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, October 3

Moderate Risk in northern NJ, northern PA, NY, Long Island, CT, western MA, and southern VT. Low Risk for cucurbits in southeast MI, northern OH, southern ON, northwest VT / far northeast NY, southeast GA, northern FL, and southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, October 4

Moderate Risk in western OK, south-central KS, and northern FL. Low risk for cucurbits in northeast KS, southeast TX, and southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2016

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, September 30, 2016
 

*** Epidemic Update - 30 September: New report from TX. CDM has been confirmed in Waller County, TX. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 28 SeptemberNo new reports. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Central & Eastern U.S. / southern Canada

Very unsettled North; mostly dry elsewhere. As the upper-level Low now over the Ohio Valley lifts north this weekend ... and the mature frontal system at the surface moves with it ... widespread rain and showers in the Ohio Valley / Great Lakes / mid-Atlantic / Northeast on Friday will lessen from south to north and become more scattered in nature. Most of the central and southern U.S. will be dry. Highs generally from the 60s to 80s, lows in the 50s and 60s.

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Significant late-season episode underway. As occurred during midweek, transport events in the North tend toward the west and southwest, and those elsewhere move near-source / east / north, with this trend transitioning by Sunday as the weather features change. Favorable conditions for epidemic spread will be found in the northeastern quarter of the U.S. and southern Canada, persisting through the weekend despite the coming changes.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, September 30

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in central and eastern IL, western and west-central KY, IN, lower MI, OH, southern ON, central and southern NY, PA, southern VT and NH, CT, RI, western MA, Long Island, NJ, DE, MD, the eastern half of VA, and eastern NC. Low Risk for cucurbits in east-central and eastern KY, northern NY, northwest VT, southern FL, and northeast SC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, October 1

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in central and eastern IL, KY, IN, lower MI, OH, southern ON, PA except the southwest, central and southern NY, western MA, CT, Long Island, NJ, MD, DE, far eastern VA. Moderate Risk in northern NY and western NY. Low risk for cucurbits in southeast WI, southeast VA, the eastern 1/2 of NC, and southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, October 2

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in central and southern MI, southern ON, northern and eastern OH, central and southern NY, PA, southern VT, western MA, CT, Long Island, and central and northern NJ. Moderate Risk in northern NY, western VT, southern NJ, De, eastern MD, and extreme eastern VA. Low risk for cucurbits in southern FL, northern IN, western and southern OH, and eastern KY. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2016

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, September 28, 2016
 

*** Epidemic Update - 28 SeptemberNo new reports. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 23 September: First reports from OK and IL. New reports from OH and MS. CDM has been confirmed in Custer County, OK; Tazewell County, IL; Licking County, OH; and Madison County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Central & Eastern U.S. / southern Canada

Active weather east of the MS River. One front is stalled along the East Coast. Another system is sweeping in from the Midwest and will eventually slow and merge with the first. Cloudy, rainy weather is expected in the Ohio Valley, mid-Atlantic, and southern Lakes regions with more scattered shower activity in nearby areas. The central states and parts of the South, under the influence of high pressure, will be sunny to partly cloudy and dry. Highs mostly 60s to 80s, lows 30s and 40s North and West, 50s and 60s South and East.

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the mid-Atlantic, Ohio Valley, the southern Great Lakes, and parts of the Northeast. A synoptic pattern that includes an upper-level cutoff Low over the TN Valley / southern Appalachians and slowing or stalled frontal systems is producing continued favorable weather for epidemic spread. With high pressure over eastern Canada and also in the central and southern U.S., transport events show general westward movement from the northern sources, and east to northeast tracks from the more southern sources.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, September 28

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in central NC, central and eastern VA, MD, DE, southern NJ, southern and western PA, western NY, southern ON, northern WV, northern KY, OH, central and southern MI, and northern and central IN. Moderate Risk in northern FL / eastern panhandle, southeast AL, southern GA, central and eastern SC, the mountains and coastal plain of NC, western and southwest VA, central and southern WV, central KY, southern IN, north-central and northeast PA, northern NJ, central and eastern NY, Long Island, CT, and western MA. Low Risk for cucurbits in southern FL, eastern IL, and southeast WI. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, September 29

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in NC except the southwest, central and eastern KY, WV, VA, MD, DE, PA, NJ, Long Island, CT, western MA, NY except the North, southern ON, OH, east-central and southern MI, and IN. Moderate Risk in northern FL, northeast SC, and southwest NC. Low risk for cucurbits in southern FL, southern SC, eastern IL, and west-central MI. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2016

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, September 26, 2016
 

*** Epidemic Update - 23 September: First reports from OK and IL. New reports from OH and MS. CDM has been confirmed in Custer County, OK; Tazewell County, IL; Licking County, OH; and Madison County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 16 September: New report from MS. CDM has been confirmed in Copiah County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Central & Eastern U.S. / southern Canada

Unsettled much of this week. A vigorous cold front is moving through the east-central and eastern U.S. / southern Canada accompanied by widespread rain and/or showers. A secondary system will take shape and follow the front, bringing clouds and showers to the Great Lakes again on Tuesday. Mostly dry weather is expected towards the Plains states early this week. Look for a wide range of temperatures. Highs will be in the 50s and 60s North to 80s and 90s South. Lows will range from the 30s and 40s North to 50s and 60s South and East.

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in central and northern sections of east-central and eastern North America. In addition to the favorable conditions in many areas, large swaths of slightly favorable to mixed conditions surrounding Monday's and Tuesday's transport events. Plants in very few locations will have minimal risk. Transport events will track near the sources and/or move east or northeast each day. Nighttime temperatures for the northern events are on the cusp of affecting sporulation or infection, but do not appear to play enough of a role to affect the risk predictions for this forecast. The emerging weather pattern will likely support elevated risks to cucurbits in the Ohio Valley, mid-Atlantic, Great Lakes, and the Northeast through a solid portion of this week.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, September 26

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in southern SC, north-central TN, southeast TX, central and eastern KY, western WV, most of OH, western PA, western NY, and southern ON. Moderate Risk in central NY and PA, western MD, central and eastern WV, central and western VA, southern and northeast TN, central and western NC and SC, GA, AL, eastern MS, northern FL and the FL panhandle. Low Risk for cucurbits in deep south TX, southern FL, LA, western MS, southwest IN, western KY, eastern MI, eastern and northern NY, Long Island, New England except ME, NJ, eastern PA, DE, eastern MD, southeast VA, eastern NC, and northeast SC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, September 27

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in central and southern MI (except the Southeast), northern SC, NC, southern MD, DE, VA, southern NJ, Long Island, far southern CT and RI. Moderate Risk in southeast MI, southern ON, northern FL, the FL panhandle, southern AL, central and southern GA, and southern SC. Low risk for cucurbits in deep south and southeast TX, southern FL, northern IN and OH, northwest PA, western NY, northeast MD, southeast PA, northern NJ, southeast NY, northern CT and RI, southeast MA, northern VT and NH, and southern Quebec. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2016

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, September 23, 2016
 

*** Epidemic Update - 23 September: First reports from OK and IL. New reports from OH and MS. CDM has been confirmed in Custer County, OK; Tazewell County, IL; Licking County, OH; and Madison County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 16 September: New report from MS. CDM has been confirmed in Copiah County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Central & Eastern U.S. / southern Canada

Active weather moving into central U.S.; showers Southeast and parts of North; mostly dry elsewhere. One front will push southward from the U.S. / Canada border into the eastern United States. Some showers will accompany the front, mainly today and in the North. Another, more potent front will move east out of the Rockies on Saturday. Widespread rain will occur in the central U.S. with this system. Many locations in the east-central and eastern U.S. will be dry. There's a chance of showers in the Southeast each day. High temperatures range from the 60s North to 90s South. Lows will be in the 40s and 50s behind the fronts, 60s and 70s ahead.

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in a few sections of the Plains, Carolinas, and Northeast. Transport events exhibit a variety of directions over the next 3 days. The most favorable conditions Friday are found in parts of the East. Saturday and Sunday will see a shift in the most favorable conditions to the Plains. Some events in the South and the greater Great Lakes region will experience slightly favorable to mixed conditions, with more prevalence in the North on Friday and toward the South on Sunday.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, September 23

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in northeast SC, southeast NC, northeast NY, and northwest VT. Moderate Risk in southwest MI, southern NY, western MA, southeast TX, and southern VT. Low Risk for cucurbits in southern FL, southwest MS, southern SC, most of eastern NC, northern IN and OH, central and southeast MI, southern ON, northwest PA, eastern MA, CT, RI, and Long Island. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, September 24

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in western OK and south-central NE. Moderate Risk in southeast TX. Low risk for cucurbits in north-central TX, eastern NE, southern and northern FL, southeast GA, southern SC, western lower MI, and central and eastern WI. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, September 25

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in southeast TX and western OK. Moderate Risk in central and western MI, northern IN, and north-central IL. Low risk for cucurbits in north-central TX, eastern WI, eastern MI, western and southern NC, SC, all but northwest GA, southern AL and MS, southeast LA, the FL panhandle, northern FL, and southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2016

Pages