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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, April 14, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 27 March: New report from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Manatee County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Continued dry and warm. High pressure situated to the north, and later northeast and east, governs the weather for the next several days. Dry weather is dominant. There will be a small chance of showers in southern FL Saturday and Sunday and perhaps the FL panhandle on Sunday. Highs in the 80s, lows mostly in the 60s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely. Unfavorable conditions are observed and forecast for the various transport events, with sunshine killing airborne spores and no rain expected. Events are tracking generally west each day from each source. The slightly favorable conditions in southern FL produce some small risk there.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, April 14

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, April 15

Low Risk to far southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, April 16

Low Risk to far southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, April 12, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 27 March: New report from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Manatee County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Mostly dry. A cold front enters the outskirts of the region today and then stalls / lifts out to the north. Very little rain is expected with this front, most of it staying to the north and west of the lower Southeast. Instead, the better chance of showers is in southern FL (today), with a lesser chance just to the north. Highs in the 80s, lows in the 50s and 60s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely. The environmental conditions support a small measure of risk in portions of FL on Wednesday. Unfavorable conditions return for Thursday. Transport events track to the WSW / southwest, posing no threat to other regions.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, April 12

Low Risk to southern FL and west-central FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, April 13

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, April 10, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 27 March: New report from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Manatee County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Dry and warm. High pressure extends over the region from the Atlantic. Skies will be sunny to partly cloudy. No rain is anticipated, save for a stray shower in southern FL due to onshore flow. Showers with the next cold front should stay to the north and west. Highs in the 80s, lows in the 50s and 60s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely. Transport events are tracking west to WNW. The threat of epidemic spread to other areas appears quite low, as abundant sunshine should kill any airborne spores and the events moving toward the FL panhandle / southern AL should not encounter any rainfall. Some spread near the southern FL source is possible.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, April 10

Low Risk to far southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, April 11

Low Risk to far southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, April 7, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 27 March: New report from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Manatee County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

A dry period. High pressure over the southern U.S. dominates after the exit of the midweek cold front. Expect mostly sunny skies and little, if any, rainfall. Winds diminish as the High moves from the mid-South to the Atlantic coast. Initially cool with a warming trend into the weekend; highs in the 60s and 70s becoming mostly 70s on Sunday; lows in the 40s and 50s turning to 50s and 60s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely. Transport events move to the south and southeast today, west and southwest Saturday and Sunday. Unfavorable weather surrounds each event.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, April 7

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, April 8

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, April 9

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, April 5, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 27 March: New report from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Manatee County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Strong cold front sweeping through the region. Active weather today; increasing clouds followed by widespread showers and storms later today and tonight. Improving weather Thursday, clearing and cooler, with showers for portions of central and southern FL, mainly in the morning. Highs in the 80s today, 60s to 80s Thursday. Lows 50s to 70s tonight, 40s to 60s Thursday night.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread possible. Windy weather during the next two days will drive transport events ENE / NE on Wednesday, east to ESE on Thursday. Mixed conditions will occur for most events.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, April 5

Moderate Risk for southeast GA and northern FL. Low Risk for central FL and southern SC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, April 6

Moderate Risk for central and southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

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