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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, April 5, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 27 March: New report from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Manatee County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Strong cold front sweeping through the region. Active weather today; increasing clouds followed by widespread showers and storms later today and tonight. Improving weather Thursday, clearing and cooler, with showers for portions of central and southern FL, mainly in the morning. Highs in the 80s today, 60s to 80s Thursday. Lows 50s to 70s tonight, 40s to 60s Thursday night.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread possible. Windy weather during the next two days will drive transport events ENE / NE on Wednesday, east to ESE on Thursday. Mixed conditions will occur for most events.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, April 5

Moderate Risk for southeast GA and northern FL. Low Risk for central FL and southern SC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, April 6

Moderate Risk for central and southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, April 3, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 27 March: New report from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Manatee County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Unsettled through midweek. A frontal system is moving into the region today. The associated cold front will stall across northern FL on Tuesday. Expect partly to mostly cloudy skies and rain or showers, especially on Monday. Highs in the 80s, lows in the 60s and 70s. The next system will impact the region on Wednesday and Thursday.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread possible. The most noteworthy transport events are coming out of central FL on Monday, heading north and northeast. Some spore death will occur, then increasing cloudiness and a chance of showers will encompass the events in the afternoon and continue into the evening and night. Tuesday's events present lesser threat. They track northeast under slightly favorable conditions.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, April 3

Moderate Risk for southeast GA and southern SC. Low Risk for north-central and northern FL, the nearby bordering GA counties, northeast SC, and far southeast NC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, April 4

Low Risk for northern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, March 31, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 27 March: New report from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Manatee County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Unsettled today; dry Saturday and Sunday. Cold front moves into the region today accompanied by scattered showers. The front stalls across the peninsula Saturday and high pressure builds in from the north. Mostly dry weather is forecast for Saturday and Sunday. Showers ahead of the next system may encroach upon western sections by late Sunday. Highs in the 70s and 80s, lows in the 50s and 60s. More unsettled weather arrives early next week.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread possible on Friday, unlikely Saturday and Sunday. Transport events track to the ENE fairly rapidly today. Mixed conditions exist in central FL, slightly favorable conditions toward the south. Some epidemic spread across the FL peninsula is possible. Drier weather prevails Saturday and Sunday. Some clouds and a small chance of showers, in southern FL on Sunday, may give rise to some short-range spread.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, March 31

Moderate Risk for central FL. Low Risk for southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, April 1

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, April 2

Low Risk for southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, March 29, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 27 March: New report from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Manatee County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Fair weather today transitioning to unsettled on Thursday. A front lying over the region may trigger a shower or two today in southern GA, but otherwise dry weather dominates. The next system moves out of the south-central U.S. and into the lower MS Valley on Thursday. Scattered showers will occur, mostly over the mainland, late Thursday afternoon into Thursday night as the front reaches the lower Southeast. Highs in the 80s, lows in the 60s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely Wednesday, possible on Thursday. Copious sunshine should kill the bulk of any spores released today, with no rain expected during the events. Thursday's transport events, which move north and northeast, feature a bit less unfavorable sky conditions (mostly sunny, going to partly cloudy). Showers are possible during the late afternoon through the nighttime hours of the events from the more northern two sources. Those two factors are enough to put the risk to cucurbits into the Low category. No rain is expected near the sources themselves.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, March 29

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, March 30

Low Risk for notheast FL, southeast GA, and southern SC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, March 27, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 27 March: New report from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Manatee County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Mostly dry; showers possible to the north and west. A frontal system now in AR / TX moves east, eventually getting strung out east-to-west over the upper Southeast. High pressure will keep most locales in the lower Southeast dry. There will be some shower activity in a few mainland areas.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely. Transport toward other growing regions is improbable, with events moving slowly near the sources or WNW. Sky conditions are mixed, but no rain is expected, so even localized disease development appears unlikely.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, March 27

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, March 28

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

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