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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, March 13, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Active weather Monday; drier Tuesday. Two systems ... one currently over the region and another moving in from the west ... are creating cloudy and rainy weather. This will last through the day and night as a coastal Low forms and moves northeast and the cold front sweeps through. High pressure intrudes on Tuesday with drier and cooler weather. HIghs mostly 60s to 80s today, 50s to 70s Tuesday. Lows 40s to 60s tonight, 30s to 50s Tuesday night.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread possible. Transport events are tracking generally northeast on Monday under mixed conditions. Events move east to southeast on Tuesday; unfavorable conditions dominate

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, March 13

Moderate Risk for most of the FL peninsula. Low Risk for cucurbits in southeast GA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, March 14

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, March 10, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Mostly dry and cooler Friday and Saturday; unsettled Sunday. A cold front pushes through the region today. A few showers are expected with its passage, but most locations will get little precipitation under partly to variably cloudy skies. The next system gathers itself in the south-central U.S. on Saturday and moves into the Southeast on Sunday. Greater cloud cover and better chances of rain are expected. Highs in the 70s and 80s Friday, 60s and 70s Saturday, and 50s to 70s Sunday. Lows from the 40s to 60s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread possible. Unfavorable to slightly favorable conditions surround Friday's and Saturday's transport events. Saturday's event out of north-central FL is notable in that some live spores moving WNW may make it to the FL panhandle area and be washed out Sunday, but no rain is expected for that event near the source. Mixed conditions will be present for Sunday's event coming out of north-central FL. That event curls clockwise to the south. Slightly favorable weather is anticipated in southern FL. 

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, March 10

Low Risk for cucurbits in far southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, March 11

Low Risk for cucurbits in southern FL, the eastern FL panhandle, and nearby sections of southeast AL and southwest GA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, March 12

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in a broad area of central FL. Low Risk for southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, March 8, 2017
 

*** Epidemic Update - 8 March: First reports from FL. CDM has been confirmed in Citrus County and Miami-Dade County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: lower Southeast U.S.

Warm with isolated showers. A cold front moving into the region will trigger a few showers, moreso today than Thursday. Dry and warm otherwise. The next system will begin to impact the region Thursday night into Friday. Highs in the 70s and 80s, lows mostly 50s and 60s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Small chance of epidemic spread in FL. Slightly favorable conditions exist in portions of central FL today, near the front. Unfavorable weather is dominant to the south. Transport events track west from southern FL and into the Gulf. The events out of central FL move east to southeast.  

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, March 8

Low Risk for cucurbits in north-central FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, March 9

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2017

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, October 31, 2016
 

*** Forecast Note - 31 October: This is the last forecast for the 2016 growing season. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 17 October: No new reports. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 7 October: New report from OH. CDM has been confirmed in Stark County, OH. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Central & Eastern U.S. / southern Canada

Dry weather most sections. Sunny to partly cloudy skies and little to no rain are expected early this week. A cold front may induce a few showers in parts of the North and Plains. Warm with highs mostly 60s to 80s, lows 40s to 60s.

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely. Conditions remain unfavorable for much, if any, epidemic spread. The chance of showers in parts of TX produces some small risk to cucurbits near those sources.  

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, October 31

Low Risk in deep south TX. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, November 1

Low Risk in southeast TX and deep south TX. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2016

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, October 28, 2016
 

*** Epidemic Update - 17 October: No new reports. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 7 October: New report from OH. CDM has been confirmed in Stark County, OH. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Central & Eastern U.S. / southern Canada

Continued mostly dry. High pressure is in general control of the weather. A new frontal system will enter the picture Saturday and Sunday. There will be a chance of rain, mainly in the northern areas. Portions of the far South may also see a shower. Quite warm with highs from the 60s to 80s, lows in the 50s and 60s, with cooler temperatures in the North.

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely. The persistent weather pattern produces risk patterns like the ones earlier this week. Epidemic spread is highly unlikely across the northern sections and most of the South. The lone exceptions are near the southern FL and deep south TX sources.  

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, October 28

Low Risk in deep south TX. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, October 29

Low Risk in southern FL and deep south TX. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, October 30

Low Risk in southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2016

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