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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, June 24, 2019


*** Epidemic Update - 22 June: New report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Edgecombe County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 20 June: New reports from NC and FL. CDM has been confirmed in Duplin, Franklin, and Sampson Counties, NC; and Seminole County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

Hot with scattered showers. A cold front in the Ohio Valley / mid-South will move through the Southeast early this week. Scattered showers will occur each day in some sections with more widespread coverage Monday. Expect sunny to partly cloudy skies. Hot with highs well into the 90s and lows in the 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread probable in the lower Southeast, unlikely but still possible along the East Coast. Monday's transport events track generally east and northeast. Sky conditions are only slightly favorable for epidemic spread and most events will encounter any rainfall late in the day or night. These factors temper the risks. Events move southeast and south Tuesday, south and southwest Wednesday. Those out of GA and FL produce chances for epidemic spread in the lower Southeast on those days.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, June 24

Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southern FL. Low Risk in the eastern panhandle of FL, southern and east-central GA, central and eastern SC, the eastern half of NC, southeast VA, eastern MD, DE, and southern NJ. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, June 25

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in southern and central FL. Low risk for most of northern FL, the eastern panhandle, and far southwest GA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Wednesday, June 26

HIGH Risk for west-central and southern FL. Moderate Risk for cucurbits in east-central FL. Low risk for southwest GA, the eastern panhandle and northern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2019

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Saturday, June 22, 2019


*** Epidemic Update - 22 June: New report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Edgecombe County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 20 June: New reports from NC and FL. CDM has been confirmed in Duplin, Franklin, and Sampson Counties, NC; and Seminole County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

Fairly active Saturday, quiter Sunday. A stationary front lies NW to SE over the Carolinas with high pressure to the north and also to the south over the eastern Gulf of Mexico. The front starts lifting to the northeast on Sunday. Skies will be sunny to partly cloudy; scattered showers will occur in the afternoons and evenings. More showers / rain are anticipated for Saturday compared to Sunday. Continued hot with highs in the 90s / lows in the 70s, with some cooler temperatures in NC.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the eastern Carolinas, possible farther south. Transport events move near-source and east on Saturday and most events will encounter mixed to favorable conditions. Conditions are sligtly favorable to mixed on Sunday as events move slowly east to northeast.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Saturday, June 22

HIGH Risk for eastern NC and northeast SC. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southern SC, southern GA, and the eastern panhandle of FL. Low Risk in northern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Sunday, June 23

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in southern FL, northern FL, southeast GA, southern and eastern SC, and southeast NC. Low risk for central FL, the eastern panhandle, and southwest and south-central GA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2019

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Thursday, June 20, 2019


*** Epidemic Update - 20 June: New reports from NC and FL. CDM has been confirmed in Duplin, Franklin, and Sampson Counties, NC; and Seminole County, FL. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 17 June: New report from GA. CDM has been confirmed in Ben Hill County, SC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

Very unsettled Thursday, drier on Friday. A strong front pushes through the mid-Atlantic Thursday with widespread showers and storms. The front becomes stationary near the NC / SC border on Friday and some brief drying occurs for most locales. Hot with highs mostly 90s, lows mostly 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely during Thursday's transport events. Conditions are favorable for epidemic spread along and near the southern Atlantic coastal plains of the Carolinas and GA on Thursday. Events track east to northeast. Skies will be less cloudy and the chance of rain greatly diminished during Friday's transport events, which move east and southeast.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Thursday, June 20

HIGH Risk for the eastern panhandle of FL, southern GA, southern and eastern SC, eastern NC, and southeast VA. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in northern FL. Low Risk in central and southern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Friday, June 21

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in northern FL and the eastern panhandle, and southern GA. Low risk for north-central FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2019

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, June 17, 2019


*** Epidemic Update - 17 June: New report from GA. CDM has been confirmed in Ben Hill County, SC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 15 June: First Report from NC; New report from SC. CDM has been confirmed in Wilson County, NC; and Charleston County, SC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

Muggy and Unsettled. The Bermuda High has established itself and is control of the weather. Anticipate sunny to partly cloudy skies and high humidities with scattered showers and storms. Even wetter weather will occur in the upper mid-Atlantic / Ohio Valley near a front, and in FL and closeby sections of GA and AL. Highs in the 80s to low 90s, lows in the 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely. Transport events track north and northeast on Monday, and east to to northeast Tuesday and Wednesday. Moderate to High risk to cucurbits will occur on multiple days in the Southeast and well northward through the mid-Atlantic growing regions.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, June 17

HIGH Risk for FL except the western panhandle, and southwest GA. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in GA except the southwest, western SC, and southwest NC. Low Risk in central and eastern SC, NC except the southwest, VA except the southwest, southern MD, and southern DE. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, June 18

HIGH Risk on the FL peninsula. Moderate Risk for cucurbits in the eastern panhandle, sotuhern and eastern GA, central and eastern sections of SC and NC, and south-central and southeast VA. Low risk for eastern MD, DE, NJ, southeast PA, and Long Island. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Wednesday, June 19

HIGH Risk in FL except the western panhandle, southern GA, coastal SC, eastern NC, and southeast VA. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in central SC and NC, east-central VA, central and eastern MD, DE, and central and southern NJ. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2019

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Saturday, June 15, 2019


*** Epidemic Update - 15 June: First Report from NC; New report from SC. CDM has been confirmed in Wilson County, NC; and Charleston County, SC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 13 June: New report from SC. CDM has been confirmed in Dorchester County, SC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

Unsettled near the Gulf, dry on the mainland. The stationary front over northern FL / southern GA dissipates as high pressure centered over the mid-Atlantic shifts offshore. The mainland areas will be dry and skies will be partly to mostly sunny. Showers are expected along and south of the dying front, and maybe in the western sections of the Southeast on Sunday. Highs in the 80s to low 90s, lows from the 50s to 70s, with a warming trend.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely on the FL peninsula. Conditions during the various transport events are most favorable for the ones out of central and southern FL, least favorable for the ones coming out of the Carolinas. Events curve northwest and north Saturday, north to northeast on Sunday.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Saturday, June 15

HIGH Risk for central and southern FL. Moderate Risk in northern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Sunday, June 16

HIGH Risk on the FL peninsula. Low risk for far northern FL and southern GA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2019

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